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Conf = Indep Region = NY C Sec 2 Nickname = Y Black Horses Coach = Erin LloydGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.5639801 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Scotia-Glenville NY C Sec 2 ( 6- 9, 74.1) 11-17 409 A Emma Willard NY C Sec 2 (13- 4, 81.0) 6- 7 415 H Glens Falls NY C Sec 2 (11- 7, 80.0) 4-11 417 H Queensbury NY B Sec 2 (16- 1, 92.4) 5-16 419 H Greenwich, NY NY C Sec 2 ( 5-11, 70.2) 14-11 423 H Johnstown NY C Sec 2 ( 4-13, 70.6) 8- 7 424 H Scotia-Glenville NY C Sec 2 ( 6- 9, 74.1) 15-11 426 A Schenectady NY A Sec 2 ( 6-10, 74.9) 14-11 429 A Johnstown NY C Sec 2 ( 4-13, 70.6) 8- 7 501 A Glens Falls NY C Sec 2 (11- 7, 80.0) 5- 6 503 H Queensbury NY B Sec 2 (16- 1, 92.4) 12-18 506 A Greenwich, NY NY C Sec 2 ( 5-11, 70.2) 15-13 508 H South Glens Falls NY B Sec 2 ( 5- 9, 71.3) 17- 6 510 H Watertown, NY NY B Sec 3 (15- 3, 90.8) 9-17 514 H Holy Names Acad, NY NY C Sec 2 ( 7- 9, 73.6) 20-11 516 A Albany Academy SG NY C Sec 2 (16- 3, 88.7) 5-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Scotia-Glenville 11-17 -6 3 --- -9.53 409 A Emma Willard 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.32 415 H Glens Falls 4-11 -7 -2 -- -4.66 417 H Queensbury 5-16 -11 -14 0.00 419 H Greenwich, NY 14-11 3 7 -- -4.40 423 H Johnstown 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.02 424 H Scotia-Glenville 15-11 4 3 0.47 426 A Schenectady 14-11 3 0 + 2.28 429 A Johnstown 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.03 501 A Glens Falls 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.32 503 H Queensbury 12-18 -6 -14 ++ 4.00 506 A Greenwich, NY 15-13 2 5 - -3.41 508 H South Glens Falls 17- 6 11 6 + 3.65 510 H Watertown, NY 9-17 -8 -13 n/a 514 H Holy Names Acad, NY 20-11 9 4 ++ 4.93 516 A Albany Academy SG 5-16 -11 -13 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Scotia-Glenville 11-17 -6 3 --- -9.53 423 H Johnstown 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.02 415 H Glens Falls 4-11 -7 -2 -- -4.66 419 H Greenwich, NY 14-11 3 7 -- -4.40 429 A Johnstown 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.03 506 A Greenwich, NY 15-13 2 5 - -3.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Emma Willard 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.32 503 H Queensbury 12-18 -6 -14 ++ 4.00 514 H Holy Names Acad, NY 20-11 9 4 ++ 4.93 426 A Schenectady 14-11 3 0 + 2.28 501 A Glens Falls 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.32 508 H South Glens Falls 17- 6 11 6 + 3.65 510 H Watertown, NY 9-17 -8 -13 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.63 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 55.56 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 12 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 22 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3