Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Erin Lloyd            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5639801    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 6- 9, 74.1)    11-17   
 409 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 4, 81.0)     6- 7   
 415 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (11- 7, 80.0)     4-11   
 417 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 1, 92.4)     5-16   
 419 H Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-11, 70.2)    14-11   
 423 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 70.6)     8- 7   
 424 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 6- 9, 74.1)    15-11   
 426 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 74.9)    14-11   
 429 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 70.6)     8- 7   
 501 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (11- 7, 80.0)     5- 6   
 503 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 1, 92.4)    12-18   
 506 A Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-11, 70.2)    15-13   
 508 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 5- 9, 71.3)    17- 6   
 510 H Watertown, NY          NY B  Sec 3   (15- 3, 90.8)     9-17   
 514 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 73.6)    20-11   
 516 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (16- 3, 88.7)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Scotia-Glenville       11-17      -6     3    ---   -9.53
   409 A Emma Willard            6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.32
   415 H Glens Falls             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.66
   417 H Queensbury              5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   419 H Greenwich, NY          14-11       3     7    --    -4.40
   423 H Johnstown               8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.02
   424 H Scotia-Glenville       15-11       4     3           0.47
   426 A Schenectady            14-11       3     0    +      2.28
   429 A Johnstown               8- 7       1     5    --    -4.03
   501 A Glens Falls             5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.32
   503 H Queensbury             12-18      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   506 A Greenwich, NY          15-13       2     5    -     -3.41
   508 H South Glens Falls      17- 6      11     6    +      3.65
   510 H Watertown, NY           9-17      -8   -13          n/a  
   514 H Holy Names Acad, NY    20-11       9     4    ++     4.93
   516 A Albany Academy SG       5-16     -11   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Scotia-Glenville       11-17      -6     3    ---   -9.53
   423 H Johnstown               8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.02
   415 H Glens Falls             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.66
   419 H Greenwich, NY          14-11       3     7    --    -4.40
   429 A Johnstown               8- 7       1     5    --    -4.03
   506 A Greenwich, NY          15-13       2     5    -     -3.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Emma Willard            6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.32
   503 H Queensbury             12-18      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   514 H Holy Names Acad, NY    20-11       9     4    ++     4.93
   426 A Schenectady            14-11       3     0    +      2.28
   501 A Glens Falls             5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.32
   508 H South Glens Falls      17- 6      11     6    +      3.65
   510 H Watertown, NY           9-17      -8   -13    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.63 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.56 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/