Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Jason Bach            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.2564087    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 5- 9, 71.3)    15-16   
 405 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 6- 9, 74.1)    15- 9   
 408 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 4, 81.0)    10-11   
 412 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (16- 3, 88.7)     9-15   
 415 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 73.6)    12-14   
 418 H Hoosick Falls          NY C  Indep   ( 3- 9, 66.6)    21- 6   
 422 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 69.4)    10- 7   
 424 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-11, 62.1)    16- 4   
 425 A Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 6-12, 77.8)     4-12   
 426 H Schuylerville          NY C  Sec 2   ( 8- 8, 76.6)    11-14   
 429 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 4, 81.0)     9-11   
 501 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (16- 3, 88.7)     5-14   
 503 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 73.6)    12-13  o
 506 A Hoosick Falls          NY C  Indep   ( 3- 9, 66.6)    21- 6   
 507 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-11, 62.1)    15- 5   
 508 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 70.6)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A South Glens Falls      15-16      -1     2    -     -3.65
   405 H Scotia-Glenville       15- 9       6     1    ++     4.19
   408 H Emma Willard           10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.05
   412 A Albany Academy SG       9-15      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   415 H Holy Names Acad, NY    12-14      -2     2    --    -4.35
   418 H Hoosick Falls          21- 6      15     9           0.69
   422 H Ballston Spa           10- 7       3     6    -     -3.50
   424 A Cohoes                 16- 4      12    11           0.00
   425 A Averill Park            4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.14
   426 H Schuylerville          11-14      -3     0    -     -2.28
   429 A Emma Willard            9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.04
   501 H Albany Academy SG       5-14      -9   -12           1.00
   503 A Holy Names Acad, NY    12-13  o   -1     0          -1.36
   506 A Hoosick Falls          21- 6      15     7    +      2.68
   507 H Cohoes                 15- 5      10    13           0.00
   508 A Johnstown               7-14      -7     3    ---  -10.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Johnstown               7-14      -7     3    ---  -10.32
   415 H Holy Names Acad, NY    12-14      -2     2    --    -4.35
   425 A Averill Park            4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.14
   403 A South Glens Falls      15-16      -1     2    -     -3.65
   422 H Ballston Spa           10- 7       3     6    -     -3.50
   426 H Schuylerville          11-14      -3     0    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Scotia-Glenville       15- 9       6     1    ++     4.19
   408 H Emma Willard           10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.05
   412 A Albany Academy SG       9-15      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   429 A Emma Willard            9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.04
   506 A Hoosick Falls          21- 6      15     7    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.92 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.06 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/