Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Ed Manly              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.7551041    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 80.8)    12-11   
 320 H Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (10- 6, 87.4)     4-29   
 327 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.3)     5-18   
 402 H Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 84.8)     7-17   
 404 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.7)     3-19   
 408 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.5)     6-19   
 410 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.2)    14-15   
 416 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.7)    15- 1   
 418 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 80.3)     5-13   
 422 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 76.9)    14-18   
 424 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 64.0)    16- 9   
 426 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 81.8)     9-15   
 430 A Copiague               NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 58.1)    17- 1   
 503 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.4)     6-14   
 507 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 82.0)     8-16   
 509 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 69.4)    16- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Kings Park             12-11       1    -5    +++    6.87
   320 H Huntington              4-29     -25   -12           0.00
   327 A Northport               5-18     -13   -19           0.00
   402 H Hauppauge               7-17     -10    -9          -0.11
   404 H East Islip              3-19     -16   -17           0.00
   408 A Half Hollow Hills       6-19     -13   -15           0.00
   410 H North Babylon          14-15      -1    -3    +      2.22
   416 A Longwood               15- 1      14     1    +++    8.77
   418 A Patchogue-Medford       5-13      -8    -6          -1.70
   422 H Connetquot             14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.07
   424 A Brentwood, NY          16- 9       7     9    -     -2.94
   426 H Walt Whitman, NY        9-15      -6    -6           0.85
   430 A Copiague               17- 1      16    15           0.00
   503 A Middle Country          6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
   507 H Smithtown West          8-16      -8    -7          -0.98
   509 H Riverhead              16- 7       9     5    +      3.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Connetquot             14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.07
   424 A Brentwood, NY          16- 9       7     9    -     -2.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Kings Park             12-11       1    -5    +++    6.87
   416 A Longwood               15- 1      14     1    +++    8.77
   410 H North Babylon          14-15      -1    -3    +      2.22
   503 A Middle Country          6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
   509 H Riverhead              16- 7       9     5    +      3.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.45 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.69 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/