Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.3677444    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.5)     5- 7   
 330 H Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 86.9)    12- 7   
 409 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (15- 6, 98.1)    15- 6   
 417 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 92.2)     8- 9   
 419 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.5)    11- 7   
 423 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 2, 98.6)     4- 5   
 425 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 88.7)    12- 2   
 427 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 72.3)    18- 4   
 429 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.2)     8- 7   
 501 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 95.4)    11- 7   
 503 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (18- 4, 99.9)    10-11   
 506 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 87.4)    17- 9   
 507 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (15- 6, 98.1)     6- 8   
 509 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 83.8)    10- 6   
 513 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 97.5)    12- 9   
 515 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 82.9)    14- 4   
 521 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 82.9)    16-10   
 523 N Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 95.4)    12- 5   
 529 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 97.5)    10- 9   
 601 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.4)    17- 3   
 607 N Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (16- 3, 97.4)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Irondequoit             5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.88
   330 H Hilton                 12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   409 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     15- 6       9     0    +++    8.70
   417 A Victor                  8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.96
   419 A Irondequoit            11- 7       4     1    +      2.40
   423 H West Genesee            4- 5      -1     0          n/a  
   425 H Rush-Henrietta         12- 2      10     9           0.29
   427 H East Rochester         18- 4      14    26           0.00
   429 A Canandaigua Academy     8- 7       1    -1    +      2.06
   501 A Webster Thomas         11- 7       4     0    +      3.24
   503 H Brighton, NY           10-11      -1    -1           0.47
   506 H Churchville-Chili      17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00
   507 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      6- 8      -2    -1          -0.03
   509 H Fairport               10- 6       4    14    ---   -6.00
   513 A Pittsford              12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.32
   515 H Webster Schroeder      14- 4      10    15           0.00
   521 H Webster Schroeder      16-10       6    15    --    -4.00
   523 N Webster Thomas         12- 5       7     1    ++     5.10
   529 N Pittsford              10- 9       1     0           1.18
   601 N Lancaster, NY          17- 3      14    -1          n/a  
   607 N Farmingdale             6-10      -4     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Fairport               10- 6       4    14    ---   -6.00
   325 H Irondequoit             5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.88
   330 H Hilton                 12- 7       5    11    --    -5.00
   417 A Victor                  8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.96
   521 H Webster Schroeder      16-10       6    15    --    -4.00
   506 H Churchville-Chili      17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00
   607 N Farmingdale             6-10      -4     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     15- 6       9     0    +++    8.70
   601 N Lancaster, NY          17- 3      14    -1    +++        
   513 A Pittsford              12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.32
   523 N Webster Thomas         12- 5       7     1    ++     5.10
   419 A Irondequoit            11- 7       4     1    +      2.40
   429 A Canandaigua Academy     8- 7       1    -1    +      2.06
   501 A Webster Thomas         11- 7       4     0    +      3.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.29 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.88 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   17.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.215.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/