Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Kristen McGuinness    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8038940    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 80.2)     9-10   
 408 H Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 82.7)     8- 4   
 412 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 79.6)   
 415 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-11, 68.5)    20- 7   
 419 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 85.4)     8-11   
 420 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.5)     2-15   
 422 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 79.9)    14- 5   
 424 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 81.2)     7- 6   
 426 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 69.9)    17- 4   
 427 N Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.6)     5- 9   
 429 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 89.4)     8-17   
 501 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 69.9)    10- 4   
 503 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-11, 68.5)    17- 6   
 508 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 79.9)    16-15  o
 511 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad    NY    Martin  (16- 2, 86.8)    12-17   
 513 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 81.2)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Orchard Park            9-10      -1     1    -     -2.28
   408 H Iroquois                8- 4       4     0    +      3.97
   415 A Niagara Falls          20- 7      13    12           0.00
   419 H Williamsville South     8-11      -3    -2          -0.32
   420 H Frontier                2-15     -13   -11           0.00
   422 A Grand Island           14- 5       9     1    +++    7.40
   424 H Lockport                7- 6       1     1          -0.55
   426 H North Tonawanda        17- 4      13    12           0.00
   427 N Clarence                5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.50
   429 H Lake Shore              8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.34
   501 A North Tonawanda        10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   503 H Niagara Falls          17- 6      11    14           0.00
   508 H Grand Island           16-15  o    1     2          -1.89
   511 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad    12-17      -5    -3          -1.01
   513 A Lockport                6-11      -5     0    --    -5.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A North Tonawanda        10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   513 A Lockport                6-11      -5     0    --    -5.27
   327 A Orchard Park            9-10      -1     1    -     -2.28
   429 H Lake Shore              8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Grand Island           14- 5       9     1    +++    7.40
   408 H Iroquois                8- 4       4     0    +      3.97
   427 N Clarence                5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.13 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.22 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/