Region = CT    Class L          
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.6224518    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Darien                 CT    Class L (21- 1, 99.9)     2-22   
 406 A Brien McMahon          CT    Class L ( 2-14, 66.4)    15- 5   
 409 H New Canaan             CT    Class M (21- 2, 95.5)     6-21   
 412 H Westhill, CT           CT    Class L ( 0-16, 60.5)    11- 6   
 416 H Wilton                 CT    Class M (15- 6, 89.8)     2-19   
 418 A Staples                CT    Class L ( 8- 9, 82.8)     3-18   
 423 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT    Class L ( 8- 8, 81.6)     4-19   
 424 H Ridgefield             CT    Class L (12- 7, 86.9)     4-17   
 427 A Westhill, CT           CT    Class L ( 0-16, 60.5)    18-11   
 430 H Greenwich HS, CT       CT    Class L (17- 5, 91.3)     0-19   
 504 A Danbury                CT    Class L (15- 5, 87.5)     5-19   
 506 A St. Joseph, CT         CT    Class S ( 5-10, 71.6)     8-13   
 507 A Fairfield Warde        CT    Class M ( 9- 9, 79.2)     7-18   
 513 H Danbury                CT    Class L (15- 5, 87.5)     8-20   
 517 A Bethel, CT             CT    Class S ( 9- 9, 75.4)    16-17  o
 522 H Southington            CT    Class L ( 5- 9, 74.7)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Darien                  2-22     -20   -30           0.00
   406 A Brien McMahon          15- 5      10     1    +++    8.91
   409 H New Canaan              6-21     -15   -25           0.00
   412 H Westhill, CT           11- 6       5     9    --    -4.11
   416 H Wilton                  2-19     -17   -20           0.00
   418 A Staples                 3-18     -15   -15           0.00
   423 H Fairfield Ludlowe       4-19     -15   -11           0.00
   424 H Ridgefield              4-17     -13   -17           0.00
   427 A Westhill, CT           18-11       7     7          -0.02
   430 H Greenwich HS, CT        0-19     -19   -21           0.00
   504 A Danbury                 5-19     -14   -19           0.00
   506 A St. Joseph, CT          8-13      -5    -4          -0.98
   507 A Fairfield Warde         7-18     -11   -11           0.00
   513 H Danbury                 8-20     -12   -17           0.00
   517 A Bethel, CT             16-17  o   -1    -7    +++    6.84
   522 H Southington            10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Westhill, CT           11- 6       5     9    --    -4.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Brien McMahon          15- 5      10     1    +++    8.91
   517 A Bethel, CT             16-17  o   -1    -7    +++    6.84
   522 H Southington            10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.58 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.66 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    51
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/