Region = PA    Mid PA           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Peggy Barton          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8482056    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Warwick, PA            PA    LLL     ( 5-10, 84.3)     9- 8   
 325 A Elizabethtown Area     PA    Indep   ( 4- 8, 72.3)    11- 5   
 326 H Northern York          PA    Indep   ( 5-12, 65.8)    19- 1   
 402 H Palmyra Area, PA       PA    Mid PA  ( 3-14, 68.9)    22- 8   
 404 A Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (10- 9, 82.7)    13-14   
 406 A Spring Grove           PA    York D1 ( 6-12, 71.3)    15- 3   
 409 H Carlisle Area          PA    Mid PA  ( 8- 7, 77.9)    17- 9   
 411 H State College Area     PA    Mid PA  (18- 2, 92.3)    14-17   
 415 H Elizabethtown Area     PA    Indep   ( 4- 8, 72.3)    14- 3   
 416 A Conrad Weiser          PA    Berks   ( 5-12, 70.8)    18- 7   
 418 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks   (13- 8, 86.1)    17-16   
 420 H Chambersburg Area      PA    Mid PA  ( 1-14, 60.6)    18- 2   
 422 A Red Lion Area, PA      PA    York D1 ( 9-10, 76.1)    17-11   
 423 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid PA  (10- 6, 79.8)    14-10   
 425 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  ( 8- 6, 82.7)    22-15   
 430 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid PA  (16- 4, 95.1)     8-21   
 506 H Cedar Crest            PA    LLL     (10- 8, 84.1)    20-19  o
 510 N Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (10- 9, 82.7)    17-11   
 511 N Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid PA  (16- 4, 95.1)    10-22   
 514 H Exeter Township, PA    PA    Berks   (17- 5, 90.4)    11-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Warwick, PA             9- 8       1     1          -0.29
   325 A Elizabethtown Area     11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   326 H Northern York          19- 1      18    21           0.00
   402 H Palmyra Area, PA       22- 8      14    18           0.00
   404 A Hershey                13-14      -1     2    -     -3.85
   406 A Spring Grove           15- 3      12    14           0.00
   409 H Carlisle Area          17- 9       8     9          -1.27
   411 H State College Area     14-17      -3    -5    +      2.16
   415 H Elizabethtown Area     14- 3      11    14           0.00
   416 A Conrad Weiser          18- 7      11    14           0.00
   418 H Governor Mifflin       17-16       1     1          -0.05
   420 H Chambersburg Area      18- 2      16    26           0.00
   422 A Red Lion Area, PA      17-11       6     9    -     -3.52
   423 A Central Dauphin East   14-10       4     5          -1.75
   425 H Central Dauphin        22-15       7     4    +      2.53
   430 A Cumberland Valley       8-21     -13    -9          -0.54
   506 H Cedar Crest            20-19  o    1     3    -     -2.04
   510 N Hershey                17-11       6     3    +      2.38
   511 N Cumberland Valley      10-22     -12    -8          -1.31
   514 H Exeter Township, PA    11-21     -10    -3    ---   -6.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Exeter Township, PA    11-21     -10    -3    ---   -6.69
   325 A Elizabethtown Area     11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   404 A Hershey                13-14      -1     2    -     -3.85
   422 A Red Lion Area, PA      17-11       6     9    -     -3.52
   506 H Cedar Crest            20-19  o    1     3    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H State College Area     14-17      -3    -5    +      2.16
   425 H Central Dauphin        22-15       7     4    +      2.53
   510 N Hershey                17-11       6     3    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.36 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.95 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/