Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Lancers              Coach  =   Chris Ayers           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.2068787    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (12- 3, 86.6)     8- 6   
 326 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    3A-2A   ( 2-10, 64.0)    17- 1   
 403 A South Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 4-10, 74.3)     8-10   
 405 A Manchester Valley      MD    2A-1A   (10- 5, 88.0)     7-19   
 409 A Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   (15- 5, 91.3)     1-18   
 411 H Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   (10- 4, 83.7)     8-11   
 415 A Oakdale                MD    2A-1A   (13- 5, 86.2)     4-15   
 418 A Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 5- 7, 75.7)     4-12   
 423 H Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 83.8)     6-17   
 425 H Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 6, 86.0)     9-17   
 430 H Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 3-10, 71.5)    14- 9   
 502 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 8- 7, 76.6)     9- 7   
 509 A Clarksburg             MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 65.8)    19- 2   
 510 A Northwest, MD          MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 6, 65.3)    18-14   
 513 A Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 6, 69.9)    15- 7   
 515 A Howard                 MD    4A-3A   (12- 6, 85.9)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Middletown, MD          8- 6       2   -11    +++   12.00
   326 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    17- 1      16    12           0.00
   403 A South Carroll           8-10      -2     0    -     -2.92
   405 A Manchester Valley       7-19     -12   -12           0.00
   409 A Winters Mill            1-18     -17   -16           0.00
   411 H Walkersville            8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.15
   415 A Oakdale                 4-15     -11   -11           0.00
   418 A Frederick               4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.54
   423 H Westminster, MD         6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.81
   425 H Liberty, MD             9-17      -8    -9           1.44
   430 H Urbana                 14- 9       5     5          -0.08
   502 H Tuscarora, MD           9- 7       2     0           1.98
   509 A Clarksburg             19- 2      17     9           0.60
   510 A Northwest, MD          18-14       4     9    --    -5.96
   513 A Quince Orchard         15- 7       8     5    +      2.64
   515 A Howard                  9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Frederick               4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.54
   510 A Northwest, MD          18-14       4     9    --    -5.96
   403 A South Carroll           8-10      -2     0    -     -2.92
   423 H Westminster, MD         6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Middletown, MD          8- 6       2   -11    +++   12.00
   411 H Walkersville            8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.15
   513 A Quince Orchard         15- 7       8     5    +      2.64
   515 A Howard                  9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.90 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.72 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    66
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    94
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/