Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   K. Porchella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4525757    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  (12- 8, 86.9)     9- 8   
 321 A Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 7, 85.1)    10-12   
 326 H Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 4-10, 79.6)     9- 4   
 402 A St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 1-13, 74.1)    13- 4   
 404 H McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (22- 0, 99.9)     6-16   
 405 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.2)    11-12   
 409 A Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  ( 5-10, 80.9)    10-11   
 411 H Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  (11- 5, 88.4)    10-13   
 416 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  ( 5-11, 82.0)     5- 6 3o
 418 A Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 7, 85.7)    13- 7   
 423 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 89.8)    12-13   
 425 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (10- 5, 88.9)     6- 8  o
 502 A Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  ( 5-10, 80.9)    10- 6   
 506 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 89.8)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Archbishop Spalding     9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.08
   321 A Mount de Sales         10-12      -2    -2           0.86
   326 H Garrison Forest         9- 4       5     4           0.85
   402 A St. Mary's, MD         13- 4       9     8           0.89
   404 H McDonogh School         6-16     -10   -16           0.00
   405 H Canandaigua Academy    11-12      -1   -13          n/a  
   409 A Roland Park Country    10-11      -1     1    -     -2.34
   411 H Maryvale Prep          10-13      -3    -4           1.63
   416 H Notre Dame Prep, MD     5- 6 3o   -1     1    -     -2.82
   418 A Severn School          13- 7       6    -3    +++    9.46
   423 H St. Paul's SG, MD      12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   425 A Bryn Mawr SG            6- 8  o   -2    -6    ++     4.70
   502 A Roland Park Country    10- 6       4     1    +      2.66
   506 A St. Paul's SG, MD       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Roland Park Country    10-11      -1     1    -     -2.34
   416 H Notre Dame Prep, MD     5- 6 3o   -1     1    -     -2.82
   506 A St. Paul's SG, MD       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Canandaigua Academy    11-12      -1   -13    +++        
   418 A Severn School          13- 7       6    -3    +++    9.46
   319 H Archbishop Spalding     9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.08
   423 H St. Paul's SG, MD      12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   425 A Bryn Mawr SG            6- 8  o   -2    -6    ++     4.70
   502 A Roland Park Country    10- 6       4     1    +      2.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.01 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.10 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/