Region = VA    Lbrty            
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Vivian Tan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.3524475    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H South County, Lorton   VA    Pat     ( 6- 6, 82.0)    12-13  o
 315 H Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 9- 6, 83.1)     9- 8   
 321 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    (10- 6, 83.9)     8- 7   
 403 A McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 7, 80.8)    11-14   
 405 A Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   (12- 5, 91.8)    10-17   
 412 A Fairfax                VA    Lbrty   ( 2- 9, 74.4)    18- 9   
 416 H South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 4- 8, 79.1)    13-12   
 424 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 2- 8, 64.6)    19- 4   
 426 A Langley                VA    Lbrty   (15- 6, 93.5)    11-22   
 429 A George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 8, 79.5)    24-12   
 501 A James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (19- 1, 99.9)     3-17   
 503 A McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 7, 80.8)    14-13   
 507 N James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (19- 1, 99.9)     3-22   
 514 A Yorktown, VA           VA    Natl    (16- 3, 87.3)    18-19  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H South County, Lorton   12-13  o   -1     1    -     -2.85
   315 H Hayfield                9- 8       1     0           0.24
   321 H Washington-Lee          8- 7       1     0           1.07
   403 A McLean, VA             11-14      -3     1    --    -4.02
   405 A Stone Bridge           10-17      -7   -10    +      3.00
   412 A Fairfax                18- 9       9     7           1.63
   416 H South Lakes            13-12       1     4    -     -3.75
   424 H J.E.B. Stuart          19- 4      15    19           0.00
   426 A Langley                11-22     -11   -11           0.00
   429 A George C. Marshall     24-12      12     2    +++    7.71
   501 A James Madison, VA       3-17     -14   -18           0.00
   503 A McLean, VA             14-13       1     1          -0.02
   507 N James Madison, VA       3-22     -19   -17           0.00
   514 A Yorktown, VA           18-19  o   -1    -5    ++     4.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A McLean, VA             11-14      -3     1    --    -4.02
   313 H South County, Lorton   12-13  o   -1     1    -     -2.85
   416 H South Lakes            13-12       1     4    -     -3.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A George C. Marshall     24-12      12     2    +++    7.71
   514 A Yorktown, VA           18-19  o   -1    -5    ++     4.48
   405 A Stone Bridge           10-17      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.81 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.77 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   109
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/