Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Myslinski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7787781    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 89.4)     8- 6   
 416 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.6)    10- 4   
 419 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)    10- 9   
 420 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 82.1)    15- 2   
 422 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 80.2)    13- 3   
 423 H Nichols School         NY    Private ( 4- 8, 83.8)    10- 5   
 425 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.4)     6- 7   
 427 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.4)     8- 5   
 430 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 80.2)    10- 1   
 502 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.6)     9- 5   
 504 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 81.2)     7- 6 2o
 507 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.4)     4- 9   
 509 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     8- 9 3o
 515 A Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 82.7)    10- 1   
 517 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad    NY    Martin  (16- 2, 86.8)    16- 2   
 523 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.6)    13- 7   
 529 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.4)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Lake Shore              8- 6       2     4    -     -2.44
   416 A Clarence               10- 4       6     4           1.76
   419 A Williamsville North    10- 9       1     4    -     -3.81
   420 A Niagara-Wheatfield     15- 2      13    11           0.00
   422 H Orchard Park           13- 3      10    14           0.00
   423 H Nichols School         10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   425 A Lancaster, NY           6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.53
   427 H West Seneca East        8- 5       3     4          -1.75
   430 A Orchard Park           10- 1       9    13          -1.00
   502 H Clarence                9- 5       4     5          -1.52
   504 A Lockport                7- 6 2o    1    12    ---   -9.00
   507 H Lancaster, NY           4- 9      -5    -3          -1.75
   509 A Hamburg                 8- 9 3o   -1    -6    ++     5.03
   515 A Iroquois               10- 1       9    11          -1.00
   517 H Mt. St. Mary's Acad    16- 2      14     8           1.61
   523 H Clarence               13- 7       6     5           0.48
   529 N Lancaster, NY           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Lockport                7- 6 2o    1    12    ---   -9.00
   423 H Nichols School         10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   409 A Lake Shore              8- 6       2     4    -     -2.44
   419 A Williamsville North    10- 9       1     4    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Hamburg                 8- 9 3o   -1    -6    ++     5.03
   425 A Lancaster, NY           6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.53
   529 N Lancaster, NY           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.51 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.10 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/