Fluvanna                      1 -10


 
                                     Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Arsenal              Coach  =   Jennifer Payne        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   67.7549133    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AA   ( 1-10, 57.7)    13-12   
 319 H Culpeper County        VA    NW AAA  ( 5- 9, 63.9)    13-25   
 322 H E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 9, 68.8)     8-18   
 328 A E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 9, 68.8)     9-16   
 409 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)     4-19   
 412 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 5-10, 72.0)     9-20   
 422 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)     5-17   
 426 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)     2-18   
 504 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)     5-17   
 507 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)     9-23   
 510 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)     7-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   13-12       1     0           0.74
   319 H Culpeper County        13-25     -12    -3    ---   -6.02
   322 H E.C. Glass              8-18     -10    -8          -1.11
   328 A E.C. Glass              9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   409 H Western Albemarle       4-19     -15   -24           0.00
   412 H Charlottesville         9-20     -11   -12           0.00
   422 A Albemarle               5-17     -12   -22           0.00
   426 A Western Albemarle       2-18     -16   -26           0.00
   504 A Monticello, VA          5-17     -12   -16           0.00
   507 H Monticello, VA          9-23     -14   -14           0.00
   510 H Albemarle               7-17     -10   -20           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Culpeper County        13-25     -12    -3    ---   -6.02


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A E.C. Glass              9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 58.94 Local Power Rank...........   107
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.55 Local SOS Rank.............    69
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............   114
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   118
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   18.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.0


  
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