Region = CT    Class M          
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.4987946    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Stonington             CT    Class S (10- 8, 71.3)    16-11   
 406 H Old Saybrook           CT    Class S (12- 6, 76.5)     9-11   
 409 H Ledyard                CT    Class M ( 4-12, 63.1)    16-12   
 411 H Bacon Academy          CT    Class M ( 6-10, 68.5)    16-14   
 415 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 8- 7, 72.4)    14-14   
 418 H East Lyme              CT    Class M (17- 4, 84.5)     5-17   
 423 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 3-12, 59.4)    20- 8   
 425 A St. Bernard, CT        CT    Class S ( 6-10, 66.0)    14-13   
 427 H Stonington             CT    Class S (10- 8, 71.3)    14-12   
 507 A Bacon Academy          CT    Class M ( 6-10, 68.5)     9- 7   
 509 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 8- 7, 72.4)    13-11   
 514 A East Lyme              CT    Class M (17- 4, 84.5)     9-17   
 516 H Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 3-12, 59.4)     5-19   
 517 H Wheeler, CT            CT    Class S ( 0-14, 52.4)    17- 3   
 520 H Old Lyme               CT    Class S (12- 5, 76.4)     9-10   
 521 H Haddam-Killingworth    CT    Class S (19- 1, 84.4)    16-23   
 522 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 8- 7, 72.4)     9- 8   
 524 A East Lyme              CT    Class M (17- 4, 84.5)     5-17   
 528 A Farmington, CT         CT    Class M (12- 6, 83.7)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Stonington             16-11       5    -1    +++    6.03
   406 H Old Saybrook            9-11      -2    -4    +      2.12
   409 H Ledyard                16-12       4     9    --    -5.31
   411 H Bacon Academy          16-14       2     3          -1.91
   415 A Norwich Free Acad      14-14       0    -2    +      2.10
   418 H East Lyme               5-17     -12   -12           0.00
   423 A Woodstock Academy      20- 8      12    10           0.00
   425 A St. Bernard, CT        14-13       1     4    -     -3.29
   427 H Stonington             14-12       2     1           0.95
   507 A Bacon Academy           9- 7       2     1           0.17
   509 H Norwich Free Acad      13-11       2     0    +      2.02
   514 A East Lyme               9-17      -8   -14    +      2.00
   516 H Woodstock Academy       5-19     -14    12    ---  -20.00
   517 H Wheeler, CT            17- 3      14    19           0.00
   520 H Old Lyme                9-10      -1    -4    +      3.00
   521 H Haddam-Killingworth    16-23      -7   -12    +      3.00
   522 A Norwich Free Acad       9- 8       1    -2    +      3.10
   524 A East Lyme               5-17     -12   -14           0.00
   528 A Farmington, CT          4-15     -11   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Woodstock Academy       5-19     -14    12    ---  -20.00
   409 H Ledyard                16-12       4     9    --    -5.31
   425 A St. Bernard, CT        14-13       1     4    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Stonington             16-11       5    -1    +++    6.03
   406 H Old Saybrook            9-11      -2    -4    +      2.12
   415 A Norwich Free Acad      14-14       0    -2    +      2.10
   509 H Norwich Free Acad      13-11       2     0    +      2.02
   514 A East Lyme               9-17      -8   -14    +      2.00
   520 H Old Lyme                9-10      -1    -4    +      3.00
   521 H Haddam-Killingworth    16-23      -7   -12    +      3.00
   522 A Norwich Free Acad       9- 8       1    -2    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.35 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.64 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/