Fairfax                       2 - 9


 
                                     Region = VA    Lbrty            
   Nickname = A Rebels               Coach  =   Rachel Shafer         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   82.3308563    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 3- 9, 62.6)    21- 1   
 315 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    (10- 6, 83.9)     7-14   
 319 A Mt. Vernon             VA    Natl    ( 1- 9, 65.1)    19- 5   
 403 A George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 8, 79.5)    12-14   
 405 H South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 4- 8, 79.1)     7-13   
 412 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA    Lbrty   ( 7- 7, 82.8)     9-18   
 415 H Langley                VA    Lbrty   (15- 6, 93.5)     4-19   
 426 A James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (19- 1, 99.9)     1-23   
 429 H McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 7, 80.8)    14-15 2o
 501 H Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   (12- 5, 91.8)     1-15   
 503 A James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (19- 1, 99.9)     7-21   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Wakefield HS, VA       21- 1      20    12           0.00
   315 H Washington-Lee          7-14      -7    -8           1.44
   319 A Mt. Vernon             19- 5      14     8           1.63
   403 A George C. Marshall     12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.08
   405 H South Lakes             7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.38
   412 H Thomas Jefferson S&T    9-18      -9    -7          -1.63
   415 H Langley                 4-19     -15   -18           0.00
   426 A James Madison, VA       1-23     -22   -26           0.00
   429 H McLean, VA             14-15 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.34
   501 H Stone Bridge            1-15     -14   -16           0.00
   503 A James Madison, VA       7-21     -14   -26           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H South Lakes             7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.38


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A George C. Marshall     12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.08
   429 H McLean, VA             14-15 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.34




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.44 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.13 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    83
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7


  
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