Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Geoff McMurtry        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6269913    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 87.4)    14- 7   
 403 H Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 86.9)     8- 9   
 409 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 87.0)    13-11   
 413 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   ( 6- 9, 86.7)     3-10   
 417 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.2)     6-16   
 419 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (15- 6, 98.1)     3-13   
 423 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (18- 4, 99.9)     2-18   
 425 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 95.4)    12-19   
 429 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 92.2)    12-15   
 501 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 82.9)    16- 9   
 503 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.4)    10-13   
 506 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (15- 6, 93.6)     3- 9   
 507 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.5)    13-14 3o
 509 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (15- 6, 97.3)     6-10   
 513 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 88.7)     4-10   
 515 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 97.5)     2-10   
 521 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 95.4)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Churchville-Chili      14- 7       7    -2    +++    9.46
   403 H Hilton                  8- 9      -1    -1           0.91
   409 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  13-11       2    -4    +++    6.33
   413 A Fayetteville-Manlius    3-10      -7    -3          n/a  
   417 A Canandaigua Academy     6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   419 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      3-13     -10   -13           0.00
   423 A Brighton, NY            2-18     -16   -17           0.00
   425 H Webster Thomas         12-19      -7   -10    +      3.00
   429 H Victor                 12-15      -3    -7    ++     4.22
   501 A Webster Schroeder      16- 9       7     0    +++    7.22
   503 A Lancaster, NY          10-13      -3   -15          n/a  
   506 A Baldwinsville           3- 9      -6   -10          n/a  
   507 H Irondequoit            13-14 3o   -1    -9    +++    8.58
   509 A Penfield                6-10      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   513 H Rush-Henrietta          4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.25
   515 H Pittsford               2-10      -8   -12    +      2.00
   521 A Webster Thomas          5-15     -10   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Fayetteville-Manlius    3-10      -7    -3    -          
   513 H Rush-Henrietta          4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Churchville-Chili      14- 7       7    -2    +++    9.46
   409 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  13-11       2    -4    +++    6.33
   501 A Webster Schroeder      16- 9       7     0    +++    7.22
   503 A Lancaster, NY          10-13      -3   -15    +++        
   507 H Irondequoit            13-14 3o   -1    -9    +++    8.58
   509 A Penfield                6-10      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   429 H Victor                 12-15      -3    -7    ++     4.22
   506 A Baldwinsville           3- 9      -6   -10    ++         
   425 H Webster Thomas         12-19      -7   -10    +      3.00
   515 H Pittsford               2-10      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.83 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.63 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/