Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Brent Ritz            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.8270264    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (16- 3, 96.9)    11- 7   
 328 N Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  ( 5-10, 80.9)    13- 9   
 330 N Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  (12- 8, 86.9)    13-11   
 402 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.2)     8- 6   
 404 H Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   (15- 5, 91.3)    14- 4   
 411 H Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (10- 8, 84.7)    15- 5   
 416 A Bel Air                MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 6, 82.9)    18- 3   
 418 H North East, Cecil      MD    2A-1A   ( 3-10, 66.0)    16- 2   
 420 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 89.8)     9-10   
 422 H Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (13- 5, 88.1)    14-11   
 423 A Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 9, 81.5)    12- 6   
 425 H North Harford          MD    3A-2A   (13- 3, 93.8)    12-10   
 501 A Havre De Grace         MD    2A-1A   ( 6- 9, 74.4)    15- 4   
 502 A Perry Hall             MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 83.2)    15- 5   
 510 H Edgewood               MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 5, 75.3)    17- 4   
 513 H Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (13- 5, 88.1)    17-12   
 515 H North Harford          MD    3A-2A   (13- 3, 93.8)    15-14   
 517 N Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (16- 3, 96.9)     9-10 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Century, MD            11- 7       4     0    ++     5.00
   328 N Roland Park Country    13- 9       4    14          n/a  
   330 N Archbishop Spalding    13-11       2     8          n/a  
   402 H Canandaigua Academy     8- 6       2    -1          n/a  
   404 H Winters Mill           14- 4      10     4    ++     5.36
   411 H Fallston               15- 5      10    11           0.00
   416 A Bel Air                18- 3      15    11           0.00
   418 H North East, Cecil      16- 2      14    29           0.00
   420 A St. Paul's SG, MD       9-10      -1     4          n/a  
   422 H Hereford               14-11       3     7    --    -4.87
   423 A Patterson Mill         12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   425 H North Harford          12-10       2     2          -0.19
   501 A Havre De Grace         15- 4      11    20           0.00
   502 A Perry Hall             15- 5      10    11           0.00
   510 H Edgewood               17- 4      13    20           0.00
   513 H Hereford               17-12       5     7    -     -2.87
   515 H North Harford          15-14       1     2          -1.19
   517 N Century, MD             9-10 2o   -1    -1           0.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 N Roland Park Country    13- 9       4    14    ---        
   330 N Archbishop Spalding    13-11       2     8    ---        
   420 A St. Paul's SG, MD       9-10      -1     4    --         
   422 H Hereford               14-11       3     7    --    -4.87
   423 A Patterson Mill         12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   513 H Hereford               17-12       5     7    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Century, MD            11- 7       4     0    ++     5.00
   404 H Winters Mill           14- 4      10     4    ++     5.36
   402 H Canandaigua Academy     8- 6       2    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.27 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.19 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.73 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/