Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Lloyd Hamilton        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6213226    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Jamesville-DeWitt      NY B  Sec 3   (11- 7, 83.9)    18- 6   
 402 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 2, 98.6)     5-13   
 405 A Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (15- 3, 95.7)    13-14   
 409 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 89.9)    15- 8   
 416 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 75.4)    15- 5   
 419 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (15- 6, 93.6)     9-10   
 423 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-11, 72.3)    20- 3   
 425 H Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 7- 8, 83.4)    17-11   
 427 H Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   ( 4- 9, 79.9)    18- 4   
 430 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 89.9)    10-11   
 502 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   ( 6- 9, 86.7)    15-12  o
 506 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-11, 71.3)    17- 5   
 508 A Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 7- 8, 83.4)    15- 3   
 510 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (15- 6, 93.6)    13-10   
 514 H Syracuse               NY A  Sec 3   ( 7- 7, 81.6)    17- 9   
 515 A General Brown          NY C  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 84.0)    16- 8   
 521 N Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   ( 6- 9, 86.7)    14-12   
 524 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 2, 98.6)     7- 6   
 528 N Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (15- 6, 93.6)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Jamesville-DeWitt      18- 6      12    10           0.00
   402 A West Genesee            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.41
   405 A Marcellus              13-14      -1    -2           1.76
   409 H Liverpool              15- 8       7     4    +      2.11
   416 A Oswego                 15- 5      10    17           0.00
   419 H Baldwinsville           9-10      -1     1    -     -2.13
   423 A Central Square         20- 3      17    20           0.00
   425 H Auburn                 17-11       6    11    --    -4.00
   427 H Carthage               18- 4      14    14           0.00
   430 A Liverpool              10-11      -1     3    --    -4.11
   502 H Fayetteville-Manlius   15-12  o    3     8    --    -5.01
   506 A Rome Free Academy      17- 5      12    21           0.00
   508 A Auburn                 15- 3      12     9           0.44
   510 A Baldwinsville          13-10       3     0    +      3.65
   514 H Syracuse               17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   515 A General Brown          16- 8       8     8          -0.99
   521 N Fayetteville-Manlius   14-12       2     7    --    -5.12
   524 N West Genesee            7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.70
   528 N Baldwinsville          10-13      -3     0    -     -3.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Auburn                 17-11       6    11    --    -4.00
   430 A Liverpool              10-11      -1     3    --    -4.11
   502 H Fayetteville-Manlius   15-12  o    3     8    --    -5.01
   521 N Fayetteville-Manlius   14-12       2     7    --    -5.12
   402 A West Genesee            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.41
   419 H Baldwinsville           9-10      -1     1    -     -2.13
   514 H Syracuse               17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   528 N Baldwinsville          10-13      -3     0    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 N West Genesee            7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.70
   409 H Liverpool              15- 8       7     4    +      2.11
   510 A Baldwinsville          13-10       3     0    +      3.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.86 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.55 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/