Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Lauren Thraves        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.3539581    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Eastern View           VA    Indep   ( 8- 7, 68.2)    19-16   
 319 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA    LIS     (18- 6, 94.3)     3-16   
 323 H Eastern View           VA    Indep   ( 8- 7, 68.2)    20-13   
 326 H E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 9, 68.8)    19-17   
 328 H Deep Run               VA    WV      ( 9- 7, 75.0)    17-20   
 409 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)    16-18  o
 412 A Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 1-10, 58.9)    20- 9   
 415 A E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 9, 68.8)    14-16   
 416 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)     9-19   
 424 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)    13-21   
 501 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)    16-15   
 503 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)    12-18   
 506 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)    17-19   
 514 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)    12-17   
 516 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Eastern View           19-16       3     2           0.15
   319 A St. Anne's-Belfield     3-16     -13   -23           0.00
   323 H Eastern View           20-13       7     4    +      2.14
   326 H E.C. Glass             19-17       2     4    -     -2.18
   328 H Deep Run               17-20      -3    -1          -1.02
   409 H Monticello, VA         16-18  o   -2    -1          -0.63
   412 A Fluvanna               20- 9      11    12           0.00
   415 A E.C. Glass             14-16      -2     2    --    -4.17
   416 A Western Albemarle       9-19     -10   -13           0.00
   424 H Albemarle              13-21      -8    -7          -0.86
   501 A Monticello, VA         16-15       1    -3    ++     4.38
   503 H Western Albemarle      12-18      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   506 A Albemarle              17-19      -2    -9    +++    7.14
   514 A Western Albemarle      12-17      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   516 A Monticello, VA         10-14      -4    -3          -0.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A E.C. Glass             14-16      -2     2    --    -4.17
   326 H E.C. Glass             19-17       2     4    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Albemarle              17-19      -2    -9    +++    7.14
   501 A Monticello, VA         16-15       1    -3    ++     4.38
   503 H Western Albemarle      12-18      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   514 A Western Albemarle      12-17      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   323 H Eastern View           20-13       7     4    +      2.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.01 Local Power Rank...........    67
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.56 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    69
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   106
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/