Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Laura Nelson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.5886612    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   (12- 5, 91.8)     2-17   
 401 A George Mason           VA    NW AA   ( 5- 8, 75.7)    16-15  o
 404 A Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (17- 3, 91.4)     6-14   
 409 H Tuscarora, VA          VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 79.8)    15-16   
 411 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 70.7)    12- 8   
 413 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 82.0)    13-10   
 415 A Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 2- 9, 57.2)    19- 0   
 417 H Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (17- 3, 91.4)     8-18   
 418 A Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AA   (17- 5, 87.4)     6-16   
 422 H Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 79.7)    10-11   
 425 H John Champe            VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 50.8)    18- 0   
 429 H Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 3-11, 63.4)    19-14   
 502 A Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 6- 9, 72.1)    14-11   
 509 A Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 5, 79.7)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Stone Bridge            2-17     -15   -13           0.00
   401 A George Mason           16-15  o    1     0           0.72
   404 A Woodgrove               6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
   409 H Tuscarora, VA          15-16      -1    -1           0.81
   411 A Potomac Falls          12- 8       4     5          -1.29
   413 A Broad Run              13-10       3    -5    +++    8.99
   415 A Park View              19- 0      19    18           0.00
   417 H Woodgrove               8-18     -10   -13           0.00
   418 A Loudoun Valley          6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   422 H Loudoun County         10-11      -1    -1           0.67
   425 H John Champe            18- 0      18    27           0.00
   429 H Heritage, VA           19-14       5    14    --    -5.00
   502 A Dominion               14-11       3     3          -0.95
   509 A Loudoun County          8-10      -2    -3           1.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Heritage, VA           19-14       5    14    --    -5.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Broad Run              13-10       3    -5    +++    8.99
   404 A Woodgrove               6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.02 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.88 Local SOS Rank.............    40
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/