Region = VA    NW AAA           
   Nickname = A Bobcats              Coach  =   Rice Lilley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5539246    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Stonewall Jackson      VA    NW AAA  ( 1-11, 58.1)    17- 2   
 322 H Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (17- 3, 91.4)     4-15   
 326 N West Springfield, VA   VA    Pat     (10- 6, 87.1)     4- 9   
 327 N Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  (15- 5, 81.8)    13-16   
 402 A Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   ( 8- 8, 77.8)    17-13   
 404 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 82.0)    12- 9   
 408 A Osbourn HS             VA    NW AAA  ( 3-11, 63.3)    16- 1   
 411 A Stonewall Jackson      VA    NW AAA  ( 1-11, 58.1)    17- 2   
 415 H Patriot                VA    Indep   ( 8- 7, 73.6)    19- 4   
 417 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (10- 8, 80.1)    13- 5   
 418 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   ( 8- 8, 77.8)    16- 8   
 422 H Osbourn HS             VA    NW AAA  ( 3-11, 63.3)    18- 3   
 425 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 82.0)    17- 9   
 429 A Patriot                VA    Indep   ( 8- 7, 73.6)    20- 6   
 509 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   ( 8- 8, 77.8)    18- 9   
 513 H Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (10- 7, 82.0)    19- 9   
 521 H Forest Park            VA    NW AAA  (12- 4, 81.7)    15- 5   
 523 A Osbourn Park           VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 84.4)    19-11   
 531 H Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AA   (17- 5, 87.4)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Stonewall Jackson      17- 2      15    29           0.00
   322 H Woodgrove               4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.54
   326 N West Springfield, VA    4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.81
   327 N Bullis School          13-16      -3     5          n/a  
   402 A Freedom-South Riding   17-13       4     8    --    -4.12
   404 H Broad Run              12- 9       3     5    -     -2.95
   408 A Osbourn HS             16- 1      15    22           0.00
   411 A Stonewall Jackson      17- 2      15    27           0.00
   415 H Patriot                19- 4      15    14           0.00
   417 H Albemarle              13- 5       8     7           0.20
   418 H Freedom-South Riding   16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00
   422 H Osbourn HS             18- 3      15    24           0.00
   425 A Broad Run              17- 9       8     3    ++     4.06
   429 A Patriot                20- 6      14    12           0.00
   509 H Freedom-South Riding   18- 9       9    10          -1.00
   513 H Broad Run              19- 9      10     5    ++     4.05
   521 H Forest Park            15- 5      10     6    +      3.70
   523 A Osbourn Park           19-11       8     1    +++    6.44
   531 H Loudoun Valley          9-13      -4     0    --    -4.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Woodgrove               4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.54
   327 N Bullis School          13-16      -3     5    ---        
   326 N West Springfield, VA    4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.81
   402 A Freedom-South Riding   17-13       4     8    --    -4.12
   531 H Loudoun Valley          9-13      -4     0    --    -4.58
   404 H Broad Run              12- 9       3     5    -     -2.95
   418 H Freedom-South Riding   16- 8       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 A Osbourn Park           19-11       8     1    +++    6.44
   425 A Broad Run              17- 9       8     3    ++     4.06
   513 H Broad Run              19- 9      10     5    ++     4.05
   521 H Forest Park            15- 5      10     6    +      3.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.95 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.53 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/