Region = CT    Class M          
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Terri Ziemnicki       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9497986    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Somers, CT             CT    Class S ( 9- 7, 72.2)    22- 3   
 406 A Joel Barlow            CT    Class M ( 6-11, 76.0)    14-10   
 411 A Glastonbury            CT    Class L (17- 2, 91.4)     5-15   
 412 H Granby Memorial, CT    CT    Class S (12- 5, 80.0)     8-12   
 416 A Ellington              CT    Class S ( 6-10, 70.6)    14- 7   
 419 H Canton, CT             CT    Class S ( 4-11, 66.3)    16- 4   
 422 A Conard                 CT    Class L ( 7-10, 78.2)    21-12   
 423 A Suffield HS            CT    Class S (10- 7, 76.5)    16- 3   
 426 H Somers, CT             CT    Class S ( 9- 7, 72.2)    21- 9   
 430 A Granby Memorial, CT    CT    Class S (12- 5, 80.0)    17- 8   
 502 H Simsbury               CT    Class L (13- 5, 89.5)    12-17   
 503 H Ellington              CT    Class S ( 6-10, 70.6)    16- 3   
 510 A Canton, CT             CT    Class S ( 4-11, 66.3)    18- 4   
 514 H Suffield HS            CT    Class S (10- 7, 76.5)    14- 9   
 516 H Hall, West Hartford    CT    Class L (16- 3, 90.0)    11-17   
 517 H Farmington, CT         CT    Class M (12- 6, 83.7)    13- 9   
 528 H Fairfield Warde        CT    Class M ( 9- 9, 79.2)    16- 6   
 530 H Brookfield, CT         CT    Class M (14- 5, 82.4)    12- 7   
 604 N New Canaan             CT    Class M (21- 2, 95.5)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Somers, CT             22- 3      19    12           0.00
   406 A Joel Barlow            14-10       4     8    --    -4.58
   411 A Glastonbury             5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.17
   412 H Granby Memorial, CT     8-12      -4     6    ---  -10.65
   416 A Ellington              14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   419 H Canton, CT             16- 4      12    20           0.00
   422 A Conard                 21-12       9     6    +      2.59
   423 A Suffield HS            16- 3      13     8           1.90
   426 H Somers, CT             21- 9      12    14           0.00
   430 A Granby Memorial, CT    17- 8       9     4    ++     4.43
   502 H Simsbury               12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.15
   503 H Ellington              16- 3      13    16           0.00
   510 A Canton, CT             18- 4      14    18           0.00
   514 H Suffield HS            14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   516 H Hall, West Hartford    11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.67
   517 H Farmington, CT         13- 9       4     3           0.97
   528 H Fairfield Warde        16- 6      10     7    +      2.54
   530 H Brookfield, CT         12- 7       5     4           0.74
   604 N New Canaan              6-15      -9    -9           0.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Granby Memorial, CT     8-12      -4     6    ---  -10.65
   406 A Joel Barlow            14-10       4     8    --    -4.58
   514 H Suffield HS            14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   411 A Glastonbury             5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.17
   416 A Ellington              14- 7       7    13    -     -3.00
   502 H Simsbury               12-17      -5    -2    -     -2.15
   516 H Hall, West Hartford    11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Granby Memorial, CT    17- 8       9     4    ++     4.43
   422 A Conard                 21-12       9     6    +      2.59
   528 H Fairfield Warde        16- 6      10     7    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.65 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.24 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/