Conf =  A                         Region = NY B  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Scott Reynolds        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5448761    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-15, 69.5)    13- 9   
 405 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 84.7)     8-17   
 409 H Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 83.2)     6-15   
 411 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (15- 2, 96.2)     4-23   
 413 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (16- 2, 99.9)     5-23   
 416 H Saratoga Springs, NY   NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 83.6)     2- 8   
 418 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L NY B  Sec 2   (12- 7, 89.4)     9-10   
 423 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 4, 81.0)    10- 7   
 424 H Niskayuna              NY A  Sec 2   (10- 6, 88.9)     6-13   
 425 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 74.9)    12- 4   
 426 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (16- 2, 99.9)     3-15   
 502 H Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-16, 69.4)    13- 7   
 503 A Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 83.2)     9-13   
 506 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 93.1)     6-14   
 508 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 84.7)     6-13   
 510 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-15, 69.5)    14- 6   
 514 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 5- 9, 71.3)    16-11   
 516 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 1, 92.4)     8-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Colonie                13- 9       4     7    -     -3.31
   405 H Bethlehem               8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.05
   409 H Columbia, NY            6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.55
   411 A Shaker                  4-23     -19   -19           0.00
   413 A Guilderland             5-23     -18   -23           0.00
   416 H Saratoga Springs, NY    2- 8      -6    -4          -1.19
   418 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L  9-10      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   423 A Emma Willard           10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.18
   424 H Niskayuna               6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   425 H Schenectady            12- 4       8     3    ++     4.14
   426 H Guilderland             3-15     -12   -21           0.00
   502 H Ballston Spa           13- 7       6     9    -     -3.36
   503 A Columbia, NY            9-13      -4    -6    +      2.44
   506 A Shenendehowa            6-14      -8   -16    +      2.00
   508 A Bethlehem               6-13      -7    -7           0.94
   510 H Colonie                14- 6       8     9          -1.30
   514 H South Glens Falls      16-11       5     7    -     -2.50
   516 A Queensbury              8-20     -12   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Columbia, NY            6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.55
   404 A Colonie                13- 9       4     7    -     -3.31
   405 H Bethlehem               8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.05
   502 H Ballston Spa           13- 7       6     9    -     -3.36
   514 H South Glens Falls      16-11       5     7    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L  9-10      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   423 A Emma Willard           10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.18
   425 H Schenectady            12- 4       8     3    ++     4.14
   424 H Niskayuna               6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   503 A Columbia, NY            9-13      -4    -6    +      2.44
   506 A Shenendehowa            6-14      -8   -16    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.78 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.64 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-12 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/