Region = VA    NW AAA           
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Laurie Pratt          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1786423    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H Douglas Freeman        VA    WV      ( 5-10, 71.7)    14- 4   
 320 H Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 83.1)     9-10   
 327 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA    NW AAA  (13- 4, 80.8)    14-12   
 410 A St. Catherine's, VA    VA    LIS     (15- 6, 89.4)    20-23   
 412 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)    11-13   
 415 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)    17-15   
 417 A Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (15- 4, 86.9)     5-13   
 422 H Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 1-10, 58.9)    17- 5   
 424 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 5-10, 72.0)    21-13   
 429 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)    17-18   
 501 H Covenant School        VA    LIS     (12- 5, 81.1)    14-16   
 503 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)    15-14   
 506 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 5-10, 72.0)    19-17   
 510 A Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 1-10, 58.9)    17- 7   
 513 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 74.4)    23-10   
 516 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (14- 4, 84.7)    11-12  o
 521 N Deep Run               VA    WV      ( 9- 7, 75.0)    25-15   
 524 A Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 83.1)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Douglas Freeman        14- 4      10     9           0.55
   320 H Salem, VA               9-10      -1    -1           0.96
   327 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 14-12       2    -1    +      3.66
   410 A St. Catherine's, VA    20-23      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   412 A Western Albemarle      11-13      -2    -5    +      3.56
   415 H Monticello, VA         17-15       2     6    --    -4.77
   417 A Battlefield             5-13      -8    -7          -0.20
   422 H Fluvanna               17- 5      12    22           0.00
   424 A Charlottesville        21-13       8     7           0.86
   429 H Western Albemarle      17-18      -1    -3    +      2.55
   501 H Covenant School        14-16      -2     0    -     -2.08
   503 A Monticello, VA         15-14       1     4    -     -3.76
   506 H Charlottesville        19-17       2     9    ---   -7.14
   510 A Fluvanna               17- 7      10    20           0.00
   513 H Monticello, VA         23-10      13     6    +      3.23
   516 A Western Albemarle      11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.56
   521 N Deep Run               25-15      10     5    ++     4.84
   524 A Salem, VA              10-11      -1    -3    +      2.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Charlottesville        19-17       2     9    ---   -7.14
   415 H Monticello, VA         17-15       2     6    --    -4.77
   501 H Covenant School        14-16      -2     0    -     -2.08
   503 A Monticello, VA         15-14       1     4    -     -3.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A St. Catherine's, VA    20-23      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   516 A Western Albemarle      11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.56
   521 N Deep Run               25-15      10     5    ++     4.84
   327 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 14-12       2    -1    +      3.66
   412 A Western Albemarle      11-13      -2    -5    +      3.56
   429 H Western Albemarle      17-18      -1    -3    +      2.55
   513 H Monticello, VA         23-10      13     6    +      3.23
   524 A Salem, VA              10-11      -1    -3    +      2.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.15 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.59 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    72
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/