Conf =  B/C                       Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Greg Giombetti        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.2779999    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Madeira School         DC    ISL A   ( 4-10, 72.9)     8- 8   
 408 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-11, 62.1)    21- 1   
 412 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 74.9)    15- 9   
 415 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 4, 81.0)    13- 1   
 417 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 73.6)    21-11   
 419 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 1-15, 69.5)    19- 3   
 423 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 93.1)     5-10   
 424 H Hoosick Falls          NY C  Indep   ( 3- 9, 66.6)    16- 3   
 426 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 8- 9, 84.7)    11- 5   
 501 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 74.9)    14- 5   
 503 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 4, 81.0)    18-12   
 504 H Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (14- 3, 95.4)    11-10  o
 506 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 73.6)    18-11   
 508 A Hoosick Falls          NY C  Indep   ( 3- 9, 66.6)    19- 4   
 509 A Columbia, NY           NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 9, 83.2)     9-12   
 510 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-11, 62.1)    15- 3   
 514 H Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-11, 70.2)    23- 4   
 516 H Schuylerville          NY C  Sec 2   ( 8- 8, 76.6)    16- 5   
 522 N Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 4, 81.0)    15- 5   
 529 N Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   (19- 4, 91.2)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Madeira School          8- 8       0    16          n/a  
   408 H Cohoes                 21- 1      20    27           0.00
   412 H Schenectady            15- 9       6    14    --    -4.00
   415 A Emma Willard           13- 1      12     6    +      3.30
   417 H Holy Names Acad, NY    21-11      10    16           0.00
   419 H Colonie                19- 3      16    20           0.00
   423 H Shenendehowa            5-10      -5    -3          -1.55
   424 H Hoosick Falls          16- 3      13    23           0.00
   426 H Bethlehem              11- 5       6     4           1.07
   501 A Schenectady            14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   503 H Emma Willard           18-12       6     8    -     -2.69
   504 H Red Hook               11-10  o    1    -5          n/a  
   506 A Holy Names Acad, NY    18-11       7    14    -     -3.00
   508 A Hoosick Falls          19- 4      15    21           0.00
   509 A Columbia, NY            9-12      -3     4    ---   -7.43
   510 A Cohoes                 15- 3      12    25           0.00
   514 H Greenwich, NY          23- 4      19    19           0.00
   516 H Schuylerville          16- 5      11    13           0.00
   522 N Emma Willard           15- 5      10     7    +      2.31
   529 N Putnam Valley          11-12      -1    -2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Madeira School          8- 8       0    16    ---        
   509 A Columbia, NY            9-12      -3     4    ---   -7.43
   412 H Schenectady            15- 9       6    14    --    -4.00
   503 H Emma Willard           18-12       6     8    -     -2.69
   506 A Holy Names Acad, NY    18-11       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Red Hook               11-10  o    1    -5    +++        
   415 A Emma Willard           13- 1      12     6    +      3.30
   522 N Emma Willard           15- 5      10     7    +      2.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.65 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.98 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/