girls probabilites for 84
2012 girls Virginia
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Langley 17 4 3 2 2 3 1 2 6 8.00
2 Oakton 18 2 1 3 1 2 14 1 17 45.00
3 Westfield, VA 11 5 6 7 8 8 3 7 18 4.00
4 Collegiate Schoo 22 4 4 15 3 1 18 3 22 13.00
5 Albemarle 16 4 19 47 19 14 4 6 24 0.10
6 Centreville 14 3 5 10 4 7 19 5 31 4.00
7 Lake Braddock 14 4 9 18 7 9 12 10 31 0.10
8 Western Albemarl 12 6 26 28 41 10 2 21 33 0.10
9 St. Anne's-Belfi 10 7 10 16 18 6 9 19 34 0.10
10 St. Catherine's, 11 5 13 17 11 4 23 9 36 0.10
11 James Madison, V 15 2 2 8 5 5 31 4 40 23.00
12 Battlefield 16 4 15 51 14 18 8 18 44 0.10
13 Midlothian Club 14 4 38 73 29 11 6 27 44 0.10
14 Stone Bridge 11 6 8 9 12 19 7 20 46 1.00
15 George C. Marsha 11 5 7 4 6 12 28 8 48 2.00
16 Williamsburg Clu 15 3 45 89 24 20 15 16 51 0.10
17 Bishop Sullivan 10 9 25 21 28 23 10 29 62 0.10
18 Godwin 13 2 32 69 15 21 30 14 65 0.10
19 Atlee Club 15 3 43 90 20 24 25 17 66 0.10
20 Chantilly 5 9 24 5 34 29 5 34 68 0.10
21 Trinity Episcopa 10 7 27 25 30 22 21 28 71 0.10
22 Salem, VA 13 7 49 71 62 27 11 37 75 0.10
23 West Springfield 9 5 14 20 26 25 20 32 77 0.10
24 Forest Park 16 3 22 87 17 26 43 13 82 0.10
25 Cape Henry Colle 12 7 16 30 16 16 46 23 85 0.10
26 Loudoun Valley 12 7 31 35 32 33 13 43 89 0.10
27 W.T. Woodson 12 5 11 13 9 17 58 15 90 0.10
28 Woodgrove 15 4 12 29 10 15 63 12 90 0.10
29 West Potomac 9 6 28 27 38 37 22 41 100 0.10
30 Patrick Henry, R 15 2 23 75 13 13 77 11 101 0.10
31 James River 7 7 51 49 66 32 17 58 107 0.10
32 Monticello, VA 10 8 50 50 58 39 39 31 109 0.10
33 Highland School 12 5 39 77 37 28 51 33 112 0.10
34 Robinson Seconda 3 10 21 1 45 34 27 51 112 0.10
35 Freedom-South Ri 12 3 42 81 25 36 55 22 113 0.10
36 South Lakes 6 6 20 14 33 35 38 45 118 0.10
37 Broad Run 10 8 44 62 65 44 16 64 124 0.10
38 Frank Cox Club 11 5 64 96 46 40 48 42 130 0.10
39 Loudoun County 13 6 30 48 31 30 62 39 131 0.10
40 Hayfield 11 5 18 40 36 48 47 38 133 0.10
41 Tabb Club 10 6 57 97 59 41 41 52 134 0.10
42 Culpeper County 11 4 61 94 39 31 76 35 142 0.10
43 South County Clu 9 7 58 88 73 42 42 59 143 0.10
44 Rockbridge Count 7 8 69 74 92 43 26 75 144 0.10
45 Thomas Jefferson 4 8 35 11 51 52 32 62 146 0.10
46 Covenant School 9 9 52 54 75 56 29 67 152 0.10
47 Maury Club 8 5 66 107 50 50 56 49 155 0.10
48 McLean, VA 2 9 48 6 63 49 33 74 156 0.10
49 Yorktown, VA 12 6 17 39 43 51 57 48 156 0.10
50 Brentsville Dist 10 6 67 102 55 53 52 55 160 0.10
51 South County, Lo 5 7 36 22 53 54 40 66 160 0.10
52 Norfolk Academy 7 15 40 26 48 38 78 50 166 0.10
53 Herndon 3 9 47 12 72 61 34 81 176 0.10
54 Fauquier 9 8 65 93 84 55 36 87 178 0.10
55 Virginia Episcop 2 3 86 95 47 71 60 47 178 0.10
56 Foxcroft School 10 5 53 82 27 46 103 30 179 0.10
57 Annandale 6 9 34 24 49 47 72 61 180 0.10
58 Douglas Freeman 5 10 55 52 107 58 24 104 186 0.10
59 Kettle Run 7 7 70 99 79 63 49 77 189 0.10
60 Fairfax 5 6 29 19 35 59 88 46 193 0.10
61 Osbourn Park 11 6 33 85 44 45 109 44 198 0.10
62 Pope John Paul-G 7 5 54 101 40 70 96 36 202 0.10
63 Tuscarora, VA 8 10 62 60 99 68 35 103 206 0.10
64 Briar Woods 5 7 60 56 67 67 65 76 208 0.10
65 Norfolk Collegia 2 7 77 31 82 60 59 89 208 0.10
66 Patrick Henry, R 5 8 68 67 96 64 50 96 210 0.10
67 First Colonial C 5 6 87 111 68 74 69 68 211 0.10
68 Stafford Club 3 7 97 79 87 62 71 78 211 0.10
69 Patriot 4 8 80 53 91 57 70 86 213 0.10
70 Fredericksburg A 4 8 73 68 93 77 45 92 214 0.10
71 Eastern View 6 7 72 98 80 72 68 79 219 0.10
72 Hanover Club, VA 5 9 85 91 102 84 44 95 223 0.10
73 First Flight Clu 5 7 92 108 81 79 67 80 226 0.10
74 Osbourn HS 2 10 95 57 110 82 37 108 227 0.10
75 Steward School 4 8 56 37 74 78 81 70 229 0.10
76 Heritage, VA 3 8 76 44 95 75 61 97 233 0.10
77 Nansemond-Suffol 2 8 74 32 94 69 66 98 233 0.10
78 Potomac HS 7 6 75 84 64 65 105 65 235 0.10
79 Poquoson Club 5 6 83 113 70 81 86 69 236 0.10
80 Charlottesville 4 10 71 55 109 66 80 94 240 0.10
81 T.C. Williams 4 11 46 23 88 76 64 100 240 0.10
82 York Club, VA 4 5 89 114 61 85 95 60 240 0.10
83 Washington-Lee 8 9 41 41 60 80 102 63 245 0.10
84 Stonewall Jackso 0 9 109 36 105 87 54 106 247 0.10
85 Robert E. Lee 4 8 63 34 78 93 74 83 250 0.10
86 Falls Church 6 8 37 43 76 90 75 88 253 0.10
87 E.C. Glass 4 8 79 72 97 73 97 84 254 0.10
88 Grafton Club, VA 4 7 98 112 85 88 82 85 255 0.10
89 Deep Run 2 11 84 61 116 91 53 116 260 0.10
90 Massaponax 1 4 111 100 54 97 114 54 265 0.10
91 Glen Allen Club 3 6 102 104 77 94 101 71 266 0.10
92 Woodbridge, VA 3 8 81 63 89 83 93 90 266 0.10
93 Tandem Friends S 0 2 110 117 42 117 115 40 272 0.10
94 Potomac Falls 2 10 82 46 106 92 73 110 275 0.10
95 Forest Club 5 5 90 116 57 104 116 57 277 0.10
96 George Mason 2 8 78 42 98 86 94 99 279 0.10
97 East Roanoke Clu 0 4 113 110 56 115 110 56 281 0.10
98 New River Valley 4 7 93 103 86 100 99 82 281 0.10
99 Princess Anne Cl 3 9 99 109 103 98 79 105 282 0.10
100 St. Gertrude Clu 0 5 101 65 71 113 98 73 284 0.10
101 Riverbend Club 2 4 105 118 52 118 118 53 289 0.10
102 Dominion 6 8 59 70 83 89 112 91 292 0.10
103 Edison, VA 2 9 88 33 100 103 91 101 295 0.10
104 William Fleming 0 10 114 66 115 95 92 111 298 0.10
105 Menchville Club 1 10 116 105 114 105 84 112 301 0.10
106 Middleburg Acade 2 11 91 92 90 99 111 93 303 0.10
107 Freedom-Woodbrid 0 8 117 58 101 96 107 102 305 0.10
108 Hermitage Club 0 5 118 115 69 116 117 72 305 0.10
109 C.D. Hylton 2 9 103 80 104 102 100 107 309 0.10
110 Chesapeake Unite 0 11 115 106 119 108 83 118 309 0.10
111 Liberty-Bealeton 1 12 104 83 120 101 87 121 309 0.10
112 Fluvanna 0 13 106 64 121 107 85 120 312 0.10
113 Wakefield HS, VA 2 11 100 59 117 111 89 117 317 0.10
114 Mt. Vernon 1 11 96 45 118 112 90 119 321 0.10
115 Wakefield School 0 13 112 86 108 110 104 109 323 0.10
116 Gar-Field 1 10 107 78 113 106 108 113 327 0.10
117 J.E.B. Stuart 1 10 94 38 111 109 106 114 329 0.10
118 Park View 0 10 108 76 112 114 113 115 342 0.10
119 Fuqua Club 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
120 Mills Godwin Clu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
121 Stuart Hall Scho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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