girls probabilites for 49
 
 

2012 girls NJ Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Glen Ridge 21 4 5 15 4 4 3 4 11 3.00 2 Red Bank Catholi 20 2 13 70 9 11 5 5 21 0.10 3 Ridge, NJ 18 4 10 17 6 8 4 9 21 0.10 4 Chatham 23 3 2 4 1 2 19 1 22 20.00 5 Clearview Region 17 5 17 35 12 15 1 11 27 0.10 6 Pingry School 19 3 7 23 7 9 22 6 37 1.00 7 Summit, NJ 14 5 8 2 8 7 17 13 37 0.10 8 Ridgewood 22 3 3 3 3 3 36 3 42 9.00 9 Shore Regional 15 6 18 34 31 18 2 24 44 0.10 10 Lenape 14 3 16 33 14 10 24 16 50 0.10 11 Hillsborough, NJ 15 5 9 24 19 20 18 15 53 0.10 12 West Essex 14 8 19 12 15 19 6 32 57 0.10 13 Washington Towns 13 6 14 20 38 12 11 38 61 2.00 14 Jackson Memorial 15 4 25 45 37 14 26 22 62 0.10 15 Moorestown 26 0 1 10 2 1 62 2 65 50.00 16 Oak Knoll School 13 8 12 1 24 22 8 40 70 0.10 17 Freehold Townshi 14 4 27 51 39 17 30 28 75 0.10 18 Shawnee 17 3 6 27 10 13 60 7 80 2.00 19 Mendham 19 5 4 5 5 5 70 8 83 12.00 20 Mountain Lakes 12 8 11 6 23 21 29 39 89 1.00 21 Allentown, NJ 19 3 20 55 16 23 59 12 94 0.10 22 Haddonfield 14 7 35 53 48 35 12 51 98 0.10 23 Brick Memorial 16 5 29 59 41 26 46 33 105 0.10 24 Columbia, NJ 13 7 30 43 49 37 20 50 107 0.10 25 Kinnelon 14 4 21 49 22 30 40 42 112 0.10 26 West Windsor-PB 16 6 28 36 43 25 44 46 115 0.10 27 Caldwell 16 3 34 85 17 27 75 18 120 0.10 28 Ocean City 15 4 65 133 32 31 54 35 120 0.10 29 New Egypt 12 6 52 47 51 42 32 48 122 0.10 30 Holy Cross, NJ 15 4 32 75 26 38 51 34 123 0.10 31 Pascack Valley 14 3 53 137 33 36 53 36 125 0.10 32 Villa Walsh Acad 14 5 44 73 44 34 49 44 127 0.10 33 Immaculate Heart 8 12 43 8 67 39 7 82 128 0.10 34 Kent Place SG 7 10 37 7 52 45 14 69 128 0.10 35 West Morris Cent 10 11 39 11 54 50 10 68 128 0.10 36 Northern Highlan 15 3 36 78 30 32 67 31 130 0.10 37 Mahwah 14 6 45 56 50 46 35 52 133 0.10 38 Seneca, NJ 15 4 41 102 35 40 57 37 134 0.10 39 Rumson-Fair Have 15 5 15 31 20 16 104 17 137 0.10 40 Montville Townsh 15 5 50 80 42 41 61 43 145 0.10 41 North Hunterdon 11 10 38 22 68 53 16 76 145 0.10 42 East Brunswick 9 8 94 100 78 65 38 54 157 0.10 43 Mt. Olive 15 2 49 146 18 43 94 20 157 0.10 44 Old Bridge 12 5 61 123 53 52 87 25 164 0.10 45 South Brunswick 15 4 22 29 11 6 150 10 166 0.10 46 Verona, NJ 12 7 60 82 62 55 48 64 167 0.10 47 Delaware Valley, 17 2 33 122 13 33 121 14 168 0.10 48 Princeton HS 14 4 26 39 47 28 92 49 169 0.10 49 Monroe Township 9 10 96 98 115 71 15 86 172 0.10 50 Wall Township 10 6 71 114 69 62 50 60 172 0.10 51 Toms River North 7 7 63 37 85 48 58 67 173 0.10 52 Manasquan 16 5 23 54 29 24 131 19 174 0.10 53 Colts Neck 17 5 42 91 25 29 122 26 177 0.10 54 Glen Rock 11 8 56 69 80 64 37 77 178 0.10 55 Montclair HS 9 8 77 46 72 60 43 78 181 0.10 56 Cherokee 6 12 75 19 118 54 13 118 185 0.10 57 Madison 12 6 46 71 57 51 76 62 189 0.10 58 Eastern, NJ 10 7 24 26 59 49 86 57 192 0.10 59 Millville 14 6 85 148 60 58 79 55 192 0.10 60 Westfield, NJ 5 13 48 9 87 85 9 99 193 0.10 61 Montgomery, NJ 7 11 47 18 90 79 23 96 198 0.10 62 Indian Hills, NJ 14 5 40 84 46 44 110 47 201 0.10 63 Cherry Hill East 8 10 57 38 92 66 42 95 203 0.10 64 Somerville 12 6 70 125 61 74 72 59 205 0.10 65 Sparta 11 8 59 41 83 59 64 83 206 0.10 66 Mainland Regiona 11 7 104 143 76 67 69 74 210 0.10 67 Notre Dame, NJ 8 10 62 25 116 63 39 115 217 0.10 68 Rancocas Valley 8 11 81 32 101 61 55 104 220 0.10 69 Bridgewater-Rari 5 13 74 13 103 89 21 111 221 0.10 70 West Deptford 11 8 66 96 86 69 66 87 222 0.10 71 Holy Angels Acad 11 8 92 134 88 84 52 88 224 0.10 72 Bernards 11 7 64 109 74 75 77 75 227 0.10 73 Fair Lawn 12 5 82 160 55 76 106 53 235 0.10 74 Hunterdon Centra 7 13 58 21 110 93 28 114 235 0.10 75 Morris Catholic 8 9 89 65 107 87 41 107 235 0.10 76 Howell 8 8 73 72 94 57 90 91 238 0.10 77 Watchung Hills 5 12 67 16 106 94 27 117 238 0.10 78 Bishop Eustace P 13 3 31 104 21 47 172 21 240 0.10 79 West Windsor-PB 7 10 68 30 127 78 33 129 240 0.10 80 Egg Harbor Twp 11 6 109 159 63 77 103 65 245 0.10 81 Hightstown 11 3 79 179 40 56 149 41 246 0.10 82 Lakeland Regiona 11 6 90 153 66 88 93 66 247 0.10 83 Wayne Valley 13 4 86 167 45 83 119 45 247 0.10 84 Bergen Tech 10 5 98 154 56 81 113 56 250 0.10 85 Morris Knolls 5 13 54 14 97 96 34 120 250 0.10 86 Randolph, NJ 14 3 55 165 34 73 165 23 261 0.10 87 Cinnaminson 13 8 51 77 77 70 129 72 271 0.10 88 NV-Demarest 12 6 100 169 64 92 116 63 271 0.10 89 Ocean Township 8 9 111 117 95 108 74 93 275 0.10 90 Phillipsburg 11 8 84 111 82 80 112 84 276 0.10 91 Kingsway 8 10 78 52 104 86 89 103 278 0.10 92 Hamilton West 10 4 121 178 27 82 173 29 284 0.10 93 Barnegat 13 3 87 176 36 99 162 27 288 0.10 94 Red Bank Regiona 11 8 69 81 71 72 146 71 289 0.10 95 Manalapan 9 8 83 108 89 97 111 85 293 0.10 96 Sterling 12 6 72 116 65 68 164 61 293 0.10 97 Ramapo 5 13 118 48 151 111 31 152 294 0.10 98 Toms River South 6 11 88 64 142 102 68 127 297 0.10 99 Roxbury 7 14 107 63 156 117 25 158 300 0.10 100 Newark Academy, 10 8 105 141 91 101 109 92 302 0.10 101 Scotch Plains-Fa 9 9 101 106 105 103 96 105 304 0.10 102 Mt. St. Dominic 9 10 95 86 108 91 108 108 307 0.10 103 Toms River East 5 9 113 57 117 100 101 106 307 0.10 104 Montclair Kimber 9 11 97 79 130 98 78 135 311 0.10 105 Millburn 6 11 117 61 125 109 80 125 314 0.10 106 Pequannock Towns 11 7 99 139 73 95 141 79 315 0.10 107 Pennsauken 5 11 129 90 114 136 65 116 317 0.10 108 Robbinsville 2 13 120 28 162 112 47 160 319 0.10 109 Pope John XXIII 9 7 110 161 79 110 133 80 323 0.10 110 Cherry Hill West 5 11 127 60 119 129 71 124 324 0.10 111 Southern Regiona 7 8 91 110 96 116 125 90 331 0.10 112 Lacey Township 8 8 124 142 93 119 124 89 332 0.10 113 St. John Vianney 3 10 128 50 123 125 83 126 334 0.10 114 Park Regional 5 6 136 129 70 107 163 70 340 0.10 115 Northern Burling 7 11 93 42 122 104 118 121 343 0.10 116 Vernon Township 4 14 116 58 159 138 45 161 344 0.10 117 Livingston 9 10 108 144 120 115 114 119 348 0.10 118 DePaul Catholic 4 12 119 83 146 130 73 146 349 0.10 119 New Providence 7 12 115 99 145 121 84 148 353 0.10 120 St. Rose 8 8 103 120 84 123 137 94 354 0.10 121 Morristown 5 11 106 62 143 126 85 145 356 0.10 122 Hopewell Valley 7 13 76 40 148 90 123 147 360 0.10 123 NV-Old Tappan 6 11 140 152 140 135 82 143 360 0.10 124 Jefferson Townsh 3 14 133 67 167 137 56 168 361 0.10 125 River Dell 6 11 131 140 141 128 91 144 363 0.10 126 Lower Cape May 7 11 146 164 137 132 97 138 367 0.10 127 Monsignor Donova 1 8 153 66 113 127 140 102 369 0.10 128 OLMA, NJ 7 11 145 170 138 131 102 139 372 0.10 129 Gloucester Catho 9 10 126 121 112 118 143 113 374 0.10 130 Voorhees 8 9 102 112 109 106 158 110 374 0.10 131 Governor Livings 7 11 123 107 128 120 130 130 380 0.10 132 Dwight-Englewood 5 12 138 135 147 145 88 150 383 0.10 133 Collingswood 11 9 80 126 99 113 175 100 388 0.10 134 Maple Shade 9 11 114 93 124 114 153 122 389 0.10 135 Rutgers Prep 8 6 112 101 58 151 180 58 389 0.10 136 Neptune 6 9 130 128 98 142 151 97 390 0.10 137 Steinert (Ham. E 5 6 157 180 81 141 169 81 391 0.10 138 Absegami 6 12 147 168 149 143 100 149 392 0.10 139 North Brunswick 5 9 134 124 121 140 145 109 394 0.10 140 Middle Township 5 13 139 157 157 144 95 157 396 0.10 141 Central Regional 2 5 141 145 75 148 179 73 400 0.10 142 Ewing Township 5 8 154 177 100 133 166 101 400 0.10 143 Wayne Hills 1 16 143 92 179 158 63 179 400 0.10 144 Paul VI, NJ 2 16 156 87 177 149 81 177 407 0.10 145 Jackson Liberty, 5 12 132 89 144 122 152 136 410 0.10 146 Brick Township 9 9 122 173 102 147 167 98 412 0.10 147 Camden Catholic 6 11 125 105 136 124 147 141 412 0.10 148 Union Catholic 6 10 144 175 126 152 135 128 415 0.10 149 Immaculata 4 14 151 119 165 150 105 166 421 0.10 150 Morris Hills 5 10 155 172 131 156 136 133 425 0.10 151 Marlboro, NJ 3 11 150 68 133 139 155 132 426 0.10 152 Woodstown 4 15 160 131 173 163 98 174 435 0.10 153 Delran 2 16 135 44 169 134 139 170 443 0.10 154 Morristown-Beard 1 15 148 76 170 155 117 171 443 0.10 155 Monmouth Regiona 1 10 152 95 134 153 168 123 444 0.10 156 Waldwick 2 13 172 156 163 165 120 162 447 0.10 157 Mt. St. Mary SG 6 11 137 130 139 146 161 142 449 0.10 158 South Plainfield 3 16 164 132 175 166 115 172 453 0.10 159 J.P. Stevens 4 13 158 149 158 167 134 153 454 0.10 160 Point Pleasant B 1 11 165 113 150 162 154 140 456 0.10 161 Gateway Regional 1 17 173 115 180 172 107 180 459 0.10 162 Nottingham (Ham. 0 13 179 138 152 170 138 151 459 0.10 163 Winslow 0 19 177 103 181 181 99 181 461 0.10 164 Manchester Towns 0 9 167 118 129 161 171 131 463 0.10 165 Clifton 3 14 163 171 166 173 127 167 467 0.10 166 Ranney School 2 8 161 174 111 178 177 112 467 0.10 167 North Warren 0 17 175 88 174 171 126 175 472 0.10 168 Cranford 2 16 149 94 176 160 142 176 478 0.10 169 Long Branch 1 15 174 97 172 157 157 164 478 0.10 170 Boonton 2 12 171 150 154 164 160 155 479 0.10 171 Lenape Valley 2 14 168 136 161 177 144 159 480 0.10 172 Holmdel 1 14 159 74 160 159 159 163 481 0.10 173 Oakcrest 1 16 170 166 178 175 128 178 481 0.10 174 Lawrence HS 3 12 166 162 153 154 174 154 482 0.10 175 Warren Hills 5 11 142 127 135 169 178 137 484 0.10 176 Passaic Valley 0 14 180 155 171 180 132 173 485 0.10 177 Pinelands Region 0 9 176 147 132 179 176 134 489 0.10 178 St. Elizabeth Ac 2 14 162 163 168 174 148 169 491 0.10 179 Paramus HS 1 12 169 158 155 168 170 156 494 0.10 180 Pascack Hills 0 13 178 151 164 176 156 165 497 0.10 181 Lacordaire Acade 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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