girls probabilites for 32
2012 girls Massachusetts
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Westwood, MA 24 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 55.00
2 Algonquin 21 2 7 22 4 4 5 4 13 1.00
3 Lincoln-Sudbury 22 2 2 11 2 7 4 2 13 20.00
4 Notre Dame Acad, 21 2 4 9 5 2 9 5 16 4.00
5 Winchester 23 2 5 32 8 11 10 7 28 2.00
6 Andover, MA 20 3 6 13 6 5 18 6 29 0.10
7 Hopkinton, MA 16 5 12 8 9 15 8 10 33 1.00
8 Westborough 15 4 10 20 12 8 13 13 34 0.10
9 Medfield 18 5 8 3 7 9 28 9 46 2.00
10 Norwell 13 8 15 6 22 13 6 28 47 1.00
11 Reading Memorial 18 5 19 31 14 17 12 20 49 0.10
12 North Andover 15 6 17 19 34 12 14 31 57 0.10
13 Framingham 12 9 18 5 35 18 3 40 61 3.00
14 Masconomet 16 4 20 44 27 16 27 21 64 0.10
15 Ipswich 16 4 21 54 25 20 25 26 71 0.10
16 Needham 22 2 3 10 3 3 69 3 75 10.00
17 Hingham 13 8 34 33 47 33 7 39 79 1.00
18 Wellesley HS 12 8 30 7 31 26 11 43 80 0.10
19 Longmeadow 18 6 9 23 15 6 68 8 82 0.10
20 Sandwich 16 2 26 78 20 14 51 19 84 0.10
21 Ashland 15 6 23 41 26 35 23 29 87 0.10
22 Concord-Carlisle 12 7 27 14 45 22 21 45 88 0.10
23 Shrewsbury 13 8 41 46 50 28 22 46 96 0.10
24 Franklin, MA 13 5 24 27 23 30 42 25 97 0.10
25 Walpole 12 8 29 16 48 29 16 52 97 0.10
26 Ursuline Academy 15 5 43 84 28 47 19 33 99 0.10
27 Natick 17 4 16 47 19 27 56 18 101 0.10
28 King Philip 13 8 28 26 46 43 20 47 110 0.10
29 Newton North 13 6 31 29 40 40 33 41 114 0.10
30 Scituate, MA 13 6 36 45 43 31 37 48 116 0.10
31 Agawam 13 5 37 56 32 19 75 23 117 0.10
32 Apponequet 18 1 22 125 11 24 82 12 118 0.10
33 Marblehead 16 5 35 51 36 21 60 37 118 0.10
34 Tantasqua 14 5 55 91 37 42 44 32 118 0.10
35 Chelmsford 14 8 47 49 49 46 17 56 119 0.10
36 Danvers 12 6 42 62 51 38 32 51 121 0.10
37 Dover-Sherborn 9 8 32 17 52 54 15 53 122 0.10
38 Cohasset 11 5 38 59 29 50 39 34 123 0.10
39 Minnechaug 17 2 11 53 10 10 107 11 128 0.10
40 Archbishop Willi 18 3 44 140 21 36 74 22 132 0.10
41 Groton-Dunstable 12 10 46 43 63 41 26 65 132 0.10
42 Nauset Regional 17 5 53 106 39 44 52 36 132 0.10
43 Central Catholic 13 6 39 58 44 32 62 44 138 0.10
44 Westford Academy 18 5 13 24 17 23 102 16 141 0.10
45 Wayland 15 5 25 55 41 37 64 42 143 0.10
46 Belmont 10 7 45 40 60 48 36 61 145 0.10
47 Bishop Fenwick, 12 6 61 102 61 49 45 57 151 0.10
48 Duxbury 15 5 14 18 18 25 112 17 154 0.10
49 Marshfield 12 3 40 97 33 39 91 27 157 0.10
50 Weston, MA 5 9 58 12 73 56 24 80 160 0.10
51 Dartmouth 16 3 33 132 24 45 92 24 161 0.10
52 Acton-Boxborough 6 14 63 4 85 59 2 102 163 0.10
53 Milford, MA 14 6 62 110 55 51 57 58 166 0.10
54 South Hadley 11 7 74 94 57 60 58 49 167 0.10
55 Bromfield School 15 5 72 130 42 55 76 38 169 0.10
56 Nashoba Regional 12 8 56 60 56 52 63 54 169 0.10
57 Arlington HS, MA 12 9 50 50 64 57 40 73 170 0.10
58 Bishop Stang 7 8 98 70 69 68 35 68 171 0.10
59 Beverly 11 7 57 72 66 58 53 64 175 0.10
60 Braintree 10 9 52 48 67 70 46 71 187 0.10
61 Holliston 2 10 80 1 78 78 29 82 189 0.10
62 Plymouth North, 10 8 73 82 72 65 59 66 190 0.10
63 Billerica Memori 6 10 71 30 93 63 30 98 191 0.10
64 Manchester-Essex 10 7 54 66 68 62 67 63 192 0.10
65 Newburyport 10 5 49 71 53 53 89 50 192 0.10
66 Lee, MA 11 0 108 168 13 34 146 14 194 0.10
67 Austin Prep, MA 11 9 81 111 89 72 49 87 208 0.10
68 Falmouth HS, MA 6 10 82 67 111 67 38 105 210 0.10
69 Wachusett 6 12 89 36 109 73 31 106 210 0.10
70 Tyngsborough 14 6 69 122 58 61 94 59 214 0.10
71 Foxborough 11 8 51 65 79 69 72 75 216 0.10
72 Westfield HS, MA 16 2 60 162 16 64 142 15 221 0.10
73 Amherst-Pelham 8 10 102 87 88 80 66 76 222 0.10
74 East Longmeadow 7 11 101 75 101 82 55 88 225 0.10
75 Hamilton-Wenham 9 6 59 77 62 66 100 60 226 0.10
76 Norwood 9 10 65 37 82 76 65 86 227 0.10
77 Georgetown, MA 8 10 94 81 106 84 48 100 232 0.10
78 Bourne 8 8 107 123 86 85 73 78 236 0.10
79 Arlington Cathol 12 8 83 129 76 75 85 77 237 0.10
80 New Bedford 10 7 92 124 71 81 87 70 238 0.10
81 Hull 15 5 64 139 38 86 118 35 239 0.10
82 Oakmont Regional 11 8 66 117 80 74 90 81 245 0.10
83 West Springfield 9 9 116 135 81 94 81 72 247 0.10
84 Nipmuc 11 9 93 112 84 88 77 83 248 0.10
85 Peabody Veterans 11 5 48 116 54 71 123 55 249 0.10
86 Woburn Memorial 7 13 67 39 125 77 41 132 250 0.10
87 Mansfield 8 13 68 42 116 95 43 115 253 0.10
88 North Middlesex 4 13 109 34 120 91 54 116 261 0.10
89 Lexington HS 6 14 76 35 137 89 34 140 263 0.10
90 Waltham 5 12 87 25 108 96 50 117 263 0.10
91 Canton, MA 9 9 70 61 90 92 79 93 264 0.10
92 Pentucket Region 6 9 85 69 99 93 83 92 268 0.10
93 Lowell, MA 8 10 95 105 102 99 70 101 270 0.10
94 Shawsheen Valley 9 2 77 160 30 83 162 30 275 0.10
95 Martha's Vineyar 9 10 84 74 103 87 88 108 283 0.10
96 Whitman-Hanson R 13 7 78 131 59 98 124 62 284 0.10
97 Hanover, MA 8 9 86 93 87 103 95 91 289 0.10
98 Northampton 8 12 97 80 115 79 111 104 294 0.10
99 Pittsfield 6 9 157 166 91 105 106 89 300 0.10
100 Weymouth 5 13 88 38 131 100 61 139 300 0.10
101 Wakefield Memori 10 9 79 108 75 107 110 84 301 0.10
102 Burlington, MA 10 8 90 103 74 101 127 74 302 0.10
103 Cathedral, MA 5 10 133 126 105 108 96 99 303 0.10
104 Mt. Greylock Reg 8 7 150 165 65 90 147 67 304 0.10
105 Fairhaven 8 9 119 154 97 118 93 96 307 0.10
106 Medford, MA 9 8 91 120 70 112 129 69 310 0.10
107 Plymouth South, 5 12 117 90 139 102 86 126 314 0.10
108 Salem, MA 5 12 118 73 136 106 78 137 321 0.10
109 Nantucket HS 9 9 104 142 95 111 119 95 325 0.10
110 Medway 2 16 125 21 155 122 47 157 326 0.10
111 Bedford Public, 7 10 75 64 100 109 113 109 331 0.10
112 Grafton Memorial 9 9 100 157 94 119 120 94 333 0.10
113 Leominster 9 10 115 151 107 113 114 107 334 0.10
114 Barnstable 2 13 134 83 152 115 80 143 338 0.10
115 Belchertown 9 8 122 163 83 110 143 85 338 0.10
116 Dedham 6 10 105 79 96 120 116 103 339 0.10
117 Wahconah Regiona 6 10 156 164 92 97 152 90 339 0.10
118 Cape Cod Acad, M 7 8 114 136 77 104 158 79 341 0.10
119 Milton, MA 2 14 120 28 144 114 84 153 351 0.10
120 Bishop Feehan 6 11 110 104 119 133 101 119 353 0.10
121 Pembroke, MA 3 11 131 86 123 121 105 129 355 0.10
122 Swampscott 8 12 99 101 130 117 108 131 356 0.10
123 Marian, MA 6 10 123 137 112 116 132 111 359 0.10
124 Triton Regional, 1 16 137 52 166 128 71 163 362 0.10
125 Littleton, MA 4 11 139 134 127 130 109 124 363 0.10
126 St. Bernard's, M 8 9 112 159 98 124 144 97 365 0.10
127 Brookline 7 11 103 95 104 131 126 110 367 0.10
128 Watertown, MA 8 11 106 115 110 125 130 112 367 0.10
129 Lynnfield 6 12 113 109 134 132 117 122 371 0.10
130 Gloucester, MA 5 11 111 99 121 123 131 120 374 0.10
131 Newton South 0 12 136 15 118 134 115 128 377 0.10
132 Wilmington 2 10 129 68 113 126 138 114 378 0.10
133 North Reading 4 14 121 85 156 127 103 150 380 0.10
134 Haverhill 5 12 128 114 126 141 122 123 386 0.10
135 Bridgewater-Rayn 2 15 144 76 160 129 98 160 387 0.10
136 Bellingham 3 15 132 57 148 144 99 152 395 0.10
137 Gr. New Bedford 0 10 166 88 122 136 139 121 396 0.10
138 Fontbonne Academ 2 11 141 98 133 138 125 134 397 0.10
139 Lowell Catholic 4 11 142 144 128 139 133 125 397 0.10
140 Marlborough, MA 3 14 143 121 157 137 104 156 397 0.10
141 North Attleboro 2 16 130 63 165 143 97 165 405 0.10
142 Matignon 3 11 147 138 129 145 134 127 406 0.10
143 Monson 2 11 158 156 135 140 137 135 412 0.10
144 Old Rochester 5 12 145 155 138 146 136 136 418 0.10
145 Oliver Ames 7 13 96 89 142 135 145 142 422 0.10
146 Quincy 3 11 127 107 124 148 149 130 427 0.10
147 Mashpee 3 12 149 141 114 154 168 113 435 0.10
148 Tewksbury Memori 4 12 135 118 140 149 148 138 435 0.10
149 Silver Lake 1 16 148 100 164 152 121 166 439 0.10
150 Abington, MA 5 12 138 152 132 155 153 133 441 0.10
151 Sharon, MA 3 13 124 92 151 150 140 151 441 0.10
152 St. Mary's, Lynn 3 15 146 127 159 147 135 159 441 0.10
153 Methuen 2 10 151 146 117 161 163 118 442 0.10
154 Hoosac Valley, M 0 12 168 167 146 151 151 146 448 0.10
155 North Quincy 0 17 163 96 168 158 128 168 454 0.10
156 Hudson, MA 5 13 126 133 150 142 164 149 455 0.10
157 Holyoke Catholic 0 13 164 150 154 153 150 155 458 0.10
158 Melrose 3 16 140 113 161 157 141 161 459 0.10
159 Doherty-Worceste 1 12 165 145 143 160 160 144 464 0.10
160 Dracut 1 13 155 119 149 163 157 148 468 0.10
161 Northbridge 1 12 153 147 145 162 161 145 468 0.10
162 St. Mary's, West 1 1 13 167 158 153 156 159 154 469 0.10
163 Malden 2 12 154 143 141 167 165 141 473 0.10
164 North Shore-Esse 3 14 152 149 158 159 156 158 473 0.10
165 Sturgis Charter 0 13 162 148 147 166 166 147 479 0.10
166 St. Peter-Marian 1 15 161 153 162 165 154 162 481 0.10
167 Coyle-Cassidy 0 15 159 128 163 164 155 164 483 0.10
168 Cambridge R-L 0 16 160 161 167 168 167 167 502 0.10
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