girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2012 girls MD-Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Century, MD 18 1 1 5 1 1 4 1 6 49.00 2 Mt. Hebron 15 3 8 9 4 7 1 7 15 0.10 3 Catonsville 17 2 5 24 11 3 7 6 16 1.00 4 C. M. Wright 14 5 6 2 5 2 14 2 18 4.00 5 Hereford 12 4 15 37 15 12 3 9 24 0.10 6 Fallston 14 4 9 8 7 4 13 8 25 3.00 7 Westminster, MD 13 5 17 12 18 8 2 16 26 0.10 8 Damascus 14 1 27 96 12 17 16 5 38 0.10 9 Winters Mill 13 6 12 1 19 11 6 22 39 1.00 10 South River 13 4 10 13 8 14 12 14 40 2.00 11 Parkside 14 3 11 36 13 21 5 15 41 1.00 12 Sherwood, MD 12 2 36 90 21 15 10 18 43 0.10 13 Winston Churchil 13 3 41 71 33 5 22 21 48 0.10 14 Marriotts Ridge 17 1 2 41 2 13 38 3 54 28.00 15 North Harford 12 5 13 10 14 9 36 10 55 0.10 16 Towson HS 10 4 18 42 29 19 18 20 57 0.10 17 Severna Park 18 2 3 33 6 10 48 4 62 6.00 18 Middletown, MD 11 4 29 58 37 22 19 34 75 0.10 19 Broadneck 14 3 7 28 10 16 49 12 77 1.00 20 Centennial, MD 9 5 28 19 24 30 11 37 78 0.10 21 Perry Hall 10 4 26 59 31 20 34 26 80 0.10 22 Manchester Valle 11 4 20 50 25 28 29 25 82 0.10 23 Walter Johnson 10 4 56 89 49 25 23 36 84 0.10 24 Leonardtown 14 3 16 69 9 24 52 13 89 0.10 25 Blake, MD 10 4 49 106 47 31 35 27 93 0.10 26 Queen Anne's Cou 17 2 4 16 3 6 82 11 99 3.00 27 Francis Scott Ke 9 6 38 34 53 34 17 49 100 0.10 28 Glenelg HS 11 5 14 46 20 36 39 28 103 0.10 29 Loch Raven 8 7 32 29 58 23 27 53 103 0.10 30 Poolesville 8 4 59 85 54 33 31 45 109 0.10 31 Dulaney 10 7 24 6 22 18 75 19 112 1.00 32 Wootton 8 5 50 79 41 26 70 23 119 0.10 33 Patterson Mill 7 11 44 22 85 38 9 73 120 0.10 34 Bel Air 9 8 37 27 46 35 45 42 122 0.10 35 Urbana 8 7 52 53 69 42 15 65 122 0.10 36 Huntingtown 11 3 40 91 23 41 53 29 123 0.10 37 Southern, Anne A 12 5 22 38 32 27 61 41 129 0.10 38 Patuxent 13 3 42 84 17 32 83 17 132 0.10 39 River Hill 9 6 34 45 44 50 30 56 136 0.10 40 Quince Orchard 9 4 60 99 51 44 50 43 137 0.10 41 Arundel 9 7 33 32 55 46 32 60 138 0.10 42 Howard 10 7 31 57 57 57 25 64 146 0.10 43 Kent Island 9 6 23 44 43 48 43 55 146 0.10 44 Stephen Decatur, 9 5 21 52 36 53 44 50 147 0.10 45 Harford Tech 8 4 53 66 40 45 67 39 151 0.10 46 Tuscarora, MD 10 4 39 77 48 47 58 46 151 0.10 47 North Carroll 8 8 35 35 67 37 56 66 159 0.10 48 Aberdeen 6 9 76 63 82 58 20 83 161 0.10 49 Easton, MD 10 6 25 21 30 39 76 48 163 0.10 50 Montgomery Blair 9 5 66 124 63 54 55 54 163 0.10 51 Chesapeake, Pasa 7 8 51 39 70 61 21 85 167 0.10 52 Annapolis, MD 11 3 19 26 16 29 119 24 172 0.10 53 Liberty, MD 4 10 48 15 96 55 28 90 173 0.10 54 Pikesville 5 8 73 55 90 51 33 89 173 0.10 55 Walkersville 8 6 47 65 64 60 51 62 173 0.10 56 Atholton 9 6 30 48 56 56 71 63 190 0.10 57 Havre De Grace 9 5 54 73 34 43 117 33 193 0.10 58 South Carroll 3 11 72 11 119 67 8 118 193 0.10 59 Northwest, MD 8 6 74 118 68 66 60 68 194 0.10 60 Sparrows Point 10 3 43 81 35 40 120 35 195 0.10 61 Northeast, MD 6 9 57 18 84 76 24 97 197 0.10 62 Calvert 9 5 55 94 59 63 78 57 198 0.10 63 Carver A-T, Balt 9 4 71 128 50 64 91 51 206 0.10 64 Bethesda-Chevy C 5 7 101 93 92 62 62 84 208 0.10 65 Eastern Technica 4 8 79 62 79 71 64 74 209 0.10 66 Old Mill 3 11 78 4 108 72 26 113 211 0.10 67 Whitman, MD 6 9 94 75 104 49 84 82 215 0.10 68 Great Mills 8 5 63 95 62 65 90 61 216 0.10 69 North Hagerstown 10 3 46 113 39 70 109 40 219 0.10 70 Watkins Mill 7 6 96 126 74 75 80 69 224 0.10 71 North East, Ceci 5 9 85 64 83 95 54 79 228 0.10 72 Patapsco 8 6 75 103 61 69 101 59 229 0.10 73 City College 5 2 83 134 38 59 133 38 230 0.10 74 Long Reach 3 9 61 20 87 82 47 103 232 0.10 75 Franklin, MD 1 11 80 14 120 80 40 114 234 0.10 76 Richard Montgome 5 9 86 112 116 89 41 107 237 0.10 77 Oakland Mills 2 8 88 17 88 73 68 98 239 0.10 78 Oakdale 5 9 69 61 103 83 57 100 240 0.10 79 Linganore 4 9 68 54 113 79 59 105 243 0.10 80 North County 3 10 65 30 98 93 46 106 245 0.10 81 Springbrook 5 7 100 114 93 74 94 77 245 0.10 82 Edgewood 7 6 62 102 66 91 96 67 254 0.10 83 Seneca Valley, M 6 7 99 125 91 86 79 91 256 0.10 84 Northern, Calver 8 8 58 74 80 68 104 87 259 0.10 85 Thomas Stone 8 7 89 108 81 87 85 88 260 0.10 86 Frederick 5 8 64 68 106 85 74 102 261 0.10 87 Wilde Lake 4 11 92 49 121 100 37 125 262 0.10 88 Joppatowne 5 8 87 82 99 99 69 95 263 0.10 89 Parkville 5 6 95 119 76 81 110 76 267 0.10 90 Lansdowne 5 8 104 104 95 94 81 94 269 0.10 91 Polytechnic, Bal 2 2 107 120 42 88 137 44 269 0.10 92 Kent County 6 8 45 31 65 78 106 86 270 0.10 93 Western STES 6 3 106 136 45 97 130 47 274 0.10 94 Reservoir 3 12 81 40 127 103 42 132 277 0.10 95 Einstein 7 6 108 129 73 92 116 71 279 0.10 96 Kenwood 6 9 103 100 102 77 108 96 281 0.10 97 Owings Mills 4 6 97 87 78 98 113 80 291 0.10 98 North Point 0 8 120 51 109 84 97 111 292 0.10 99 Paint Branch 4 7 112 115 97 96 115 81 292 0.10 100 Perryville 6 7 67 105 89 101 103 93 297 0.10 101 J.M. Bennett 2 9 70 3 94 90 93 115 298 0.10 102 Gaithersburg 2 10 122 97 130 107 65 127 299 0.10 103 Meade 2 10 105 25 114 108 73 120 301 0.10 104 Westlake, MD 2 8 128 80 111 105 95 109 309 0.10 105 Overlea 3 5 127 131 71 114 125 72 311 0.10 106 Elkton 5 6 77 107 77 109 126 78 313 0.10 107 Catoctin 6 8 84 88 101 110 105 99 314 0.10 108 Western, Baltimo 4 3 118 137 52 128 134 52 314 0.10 109 Glen Burnie 1 11 115 43 125 111 77 128 316 0.10 110 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 11 113 7 126 117 66 133 316 0.10 111 McDonough 3 9 119 86 118 104 98 117 319 0.10 112 Brunswick, MD 4 9 91 76 117 113 92 116 321 0.10 113 Chopticon 0 9 121 70 124 112 87 122 321 0.10 114 Hammond 0 13 111 23 134 120 63 139 322 0.10 115 Gov. Thomas John 2 12 109 67 137 116 72 136 324 0.10 116 La Plata 1 8 114 72 112 102 112 110 324 0.10 117 Woodlawn 3 5 117 133 72 123 131 70 324 0.10 118 Cambridge-S Dorc 3 9 90 47 100 115 100 112 327 0.10 119 Milford Mill 4 6 124 132 75 121 132 75 328 0.10 120 Rockville 3 10 116 121 128 118 86 124 328 0.10 121 NAF HS 0 3 138 138 60 139 135 58 332 0.10 122 Boonsboro 5 8 102 98 105 119 114 101 334 0.10 123 Rising Sun 4 8 98 83 110 106 124 108 338 0.10 124 Northwood, MD 2 11 129 116 133 129 88 129 346 0.10 125 Clarksburg 2 10 123 122 129 122 102 126 350 0.10 126 Digital Harbor 1 6 133 130 86 133 127 92 352 0.10 127 Kennedy, MD 0 12 134 123 139 131 89 137 357 0.10 128 North Caroline 3 10 82 60 115 126 111 123 360 0.10 129 Lackey 0 10 132 78 132 124 107 131 362 0.10 130 Chesapeake, Balt 2 9 131 117 123 127 118 121 366 0.10 131 Dundalk 0 13 136 111 140 132 99 140 371 0.10 132 Wheaton, MD 2 11 126 127 122 130 123 119 372 0.10 133 New Town 0 7 137 135 107 138 136 104 378 0.10 134 Magruder 0 11 130 110 135 134 121 134 389 0.10 135 Smithsburg 2 11 110 109 131 135 128 130 393 0.10 136 Bohemia Manor 1 12 125 92 138 136 122 138 396 0.10 137 South Hagerstown 0 12 135 101 136 137 129 135 401 0.10 138 Oxon Hill 0 1 93 56 26 140 138 30 0 0.10 139 Patterson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 140 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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