Region = VA    Natl             
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Crystal Morgan        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8473969    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A West Springfield, VA   VA    Pat     ( 9- 5, 86.3)    10-12   
 314 H Centreville            VA    Cncrd   (14- 3, 94.6)     5-19   
 316 H Mt. Vernon             VA    Natl    ( 1-11, 62.5)    15- 1   
 320 H South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 6- 6, 83.6)    11-12   
 322 A McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 2- 9, 75.8)    19-12   
 326 A Chantilly              VA    Cncrd   ( 5- 9, 83.0)    13-11   
 328 H Herndon                VA    Cncrd   ( 3- 9, 76.0)    14- 7   
 410 H Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 6- 8, 78.8)    17-12   
 413 A Hayfield               VA    Natl    (11- 5, 84.1)     6- 7   
 417 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-10, 62.8)    16- 4   
 419 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 8- 9, 78.1)    18- 2   
 425 A Annandale              VA    Pat     ( 6- 9, 80.4)    14-16   
 427 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 2-11, 59.8)    15- 0   
 430 A Edison, VA             VA    Natl    ( 2- 9, 65.5)    19- 9   
 504 H Mt. Vernon             VA    Natl    ( 1-11, 62.5)    18- 4   
 508 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 8- 9, 78.1)    16- 6   
 510 A Hayfield               VA    Natl    (11- 5, 84.1)     9- 8 3o
 516 H West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 9- 6, 82.7)    13-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A West Springfield, VA   10-12      -2    -3           1.07
   314 H Centreville             5-19     -14    -9          -0.82
   316 H Mt. Vernon             15- 1      14    22           0.00
   320 H South Lakes            11-12      -1     1    -     -2.77
   322 A McLean, VA             19-12       7     7          -0.42
   326 A Chantilly              13-11       2     0           1.77
   328 H Herndon                14- 7       7     9    -     -2.41
   410 H Falls Church           17-12       5     6          -1.63
   413 A Hayfield                6- 7      -1     0          -0.13
   417 A J.E.B. Stuart          16- 4      12    20           0.00
   419 H Washington-Lee         18- 2      16     7    +      2.74
   425 A Annandale              14-16      -2     2    --    -4.82
   427 H Wakefield HS, VA       15- 0      15    25           0.00
   430 A Edison, VA             19- 9      10    17           0.00
   504 H Mt. Vernon             18- 4      14    22           0.00
   508 H Washington-Lee         16- 6      10     7    +      2.74
   510 A Hayfield                9- 8 3o    1     0           1.87
   516 H West Potomac           13-16      -3     2    --    -5.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Annandale              14-16      -2     2    --    -4.82
   516 H West Potomac           13-16      -3     2    --    -5.69
   320 H South Lakes            11-12      -1     1    -     -2.77
   328 H Herndon                14- 7       7     9    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Washington-Lee         18- 2      16     7    +      2.74
   508 H Washington-Lee         16- 6      10     7    +      2.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.30 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.85 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   121
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    43
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/