Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Trojans              Coach  =   Richard Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7566986    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.5)     3-19   
 402 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 85.1)     6- 7   
 417 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 96.3)     7-17   
 419 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 81.1)     7-13   
 421 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 87.4)    10- 9   
 424 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (13- 6, 92.6)     3-13   
 425 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 94.7)    14-16  o
 427 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 78.4)    15- 6   
 430 H Nichols School         NY    Private ( 5- 7, 91.0)     9-16   
 501 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 8, 82.1)    15- 3   
 503 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 79.1)    10- 9   
 505 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 96.8)     4-14   
 507 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 82.2)    15- 4   
 509 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     4-18   
 511 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 89.8)    11-10 3o
 515 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.1)     8-10   
 522 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 89.8)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Webster Schroeder       3-19     -16    -7          n/a  
   402 A Orchard Park            6- 7      -1    -1           0.95
   417 A Lancaster, NY           7-17     -10   -13           0.00
   419 A Williamsville East      7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.03
   421 H Clarence               10- 9       1    -2    +      3.01
   424 A Amherst                 3-13     -10    -9          -0.57
   425 H Williamsville North    14-16  o   -2    -9    +++    7.29
   427 A North Tonawanda        15- 6       9     4    ++     4.29
   430 H Nichols School          9-16      -7    -5          -1.44
   501 H Sweet Home             15- 3      12     3    +++    6.68
   503 A Iroquois               10- 9       1     4    -     -3.01
   505 H Frontier                4-14     -10   -11           0.00
   507 H Niagara-Wheatfield     15- 4      11     3    +++    6.78
   509 A Hamburg                 4-18     -14   -16           0.00
   511 H Williamsville South    11-10 3o    1    -4    ++     5.40
   515 A West Seneca West        8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.91
   522 A Williamsville South     5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Williamsville East      7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.03
   331 A Webster Schroeder       3-19     -16    -7    -          
   503 A Iroquois               10- 9       1     4    -     -3.01
   522 A Williamsville South     5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Williamsville North    14-16  o   -2    -9    +++    7.29
   501 H Sweet Home             15- 3      12     3    +++    6.68
   507 H Niagara-Wheatfield     15- 4      11     3    +++    6.78
   427 A North Tonawanda        15- 6       9     4    ++     4.29
   511 H Williamsville South    11-10 3o    1    -4    ++     5.40
   515 A West Seneca West        8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.91
   421 H Clarence               10- 9       1    -2    +      3.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.30 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.71 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/