Region = VA    Pat              
   Nickname = A Cavaliers            Coach  =   Amy Herbert           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.8028641    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Langley                VA    Lbrty   (17- 4, 96.2)     8-11   
 328 H Robinson Secondary     VA    Cncrd   ( 3-10, 83.4)    19-18   
 331 N Colts Neck             NJ    Grp 3S  (17- 5, 82.0)    15- 9   
 331 N Unionville             PA    Chsmnt  (12- 6, 88.1)    17-17   
 402 N Centreville            VA    Cncrd   (14- 3, 94.6)     9-16   
 403 N George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   (11- 5, 91.3)     6-13   
 413 H South County, Lorton   VA    Pat     ( 5- 7, 80.0)    14- 5   
 417 A T.C. Williams          VA    Pat     ( 4-11, 76.4)    18- 6   
 419 H West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 9- 6, 82.7)    19-10   
 426 H West Springfield, VA   VA    Pat     ( 9- 5, 86.3)    12-10   
 428 A Annandale              VA    Pat     ( 6- 9, 80.4)    16-10   
 430 A Lake Braddock          VA    Pat     (14- 4, 90.4)    10-14   
 502 A Robert E. Lee          VA    Pat     ( 4- 8, 71.1)    14- 1   
 504 H T.C. Williams          VA    Pat     ( 4-11, 76.4)    16-10   
 508 N West Springfield, VA   VA    Pat     ( 9- 5, 86.3)    14- 6   
 511 N Lake Braddock          VA    Pat     (14- 4, 90.4)    14-11   
 515 H Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 6- 8, 78.8)    16- 8   
 518 H Langley                VA    Lbrty   (17- 4, 96.2)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Langley                 8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.73
   328 H Robinson Secondary     19-18       1     7    ---   -6.21
   331 N Colts Neck             15- 9       6     7          n/a  
   331 N Unionville             17-17       0     1          n/a  
   402 N Centreville             9-16      -7    -5          -1.98
   403 N George C. Marshall      6-13      -7    -1    --    -5.26
   413 H South County, Lorton   14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   417 A T.C. Williams          18- 6      12    12           0.00
   419 H West Potomac           19-10       9     7           1.06
   426 H West Springfield, VA   12-10       2     4    -     -2.37
   428 A Annandale              16-10       6     8    -     -2.08
   430 A Lake Braddock          10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.02
   502 A Robert E. Lee          14- 1      13    17           0.00
   504 H T.C. Williams          16-10       6    14    --    -4.00
   508 N West Springfield, VA   14- 6       8     3    ++     4.72
   511 N Lake Braddock          14-11       3     0    +      3.89
   515 H Falls Church           16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00
   518 H Langley                 9-14      -5    -5           0.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Robinson Secondary     19-18       1     7    ---   -6.21
   403 N George C. Marshall      6-13      -7    -1    --    -5.26
   504 H T.C. Williams          16-10       6    14    --    -4.00
   426 H West Springfield, VA   12-10       2     4    -     -2.37
   428 A Annandale              16-10       6     8    -     -2.08
   430 A Lake Braddock          10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.02
   515 H Falls Church           16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Langley                 8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.73
   508 N West Springfield, VA   14- 6       8     3    ++     4.72
   511 N Lake Braddock          14-11       3     0    +      3.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.56 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.59 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   109
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/