Winchester Thurston           1 - 9


 
                                     Region = PA    WP D2-1          
   Nickname = A                      Coach  =   Elizabeth Patterson   



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.0932541    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Baldwin HS, PA         PA    WP D2-1 (12- 7, 84.9)     8-16   
 404 H Chartiers Valley       PA    WP D2-1 (18- 2, 92.7)     7-16   
 409 H Bethel Park            PA    WP D2-1 (17- 2, 89.1)    13-14   
 411 A Greater Latrobe        PA    WP D2-1 ( 5-11, 77.4)     8- 7   
 418 H Ellis School           PA    WP D2-1 (11- 6, 84.2)    12-17   
 420 H Greensburg Central CS  PA    WP D2-1 ( 1-10, 70.4)   
 425 H Baldwin HS, PA         PA    WP D2-1 (12- 7, 84.9)     8-18   
 427 A Chartiers Valley       PA    WP D2-1 (18- 2, 92.7)     8-13   
 430 A Bethel Park            PA    WP D2-1 (17- 2, 89.1)     7-17   
 502 H Greater Latrobe        PA    WP D2-1 ( 5-11, 77.4)     8-11   
 509 A Ellis School           PA    WP D2-1 (11- 6, 84.2)    10-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Baldwin HS, PA          8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
   404 H Chartiers Valley        7-16      -9   -17           1.00
   409 H Bethel Park            13-14      -1   -14    +++    9.00
   411 A Greater Latrobe         8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.40
   418 H Ellis School           12-17      -5    -9    ++     4.27
   425 H Baldwin HS, PA          8-18     -10    -9          -0.03
   427 A Chartiers Valley        8-13      -5   -18    ++     5.00
   430 A Bethel Park             7-17     -10   -15           0.00
   502 H Greater Latrobe         8-11      -3    -2          -0.48
   509 A Ellis School           10-12      -2   -10    +++    8.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Bethel Park            13-14      -1   -14    +++    9.00
   509 A Ellis School           10-12      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   411 A Greater Latrobe         8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.40
   418 H Ellis School           12-17      -5    -9    ++     4.27
   427 A Chartiers Valley        8-13      -5   -18    ++     5.00
   402 A Baldwin HS, PA          8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.46 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.34 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0


  
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