Region = MD    2A-1A            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Courtney Vaughn       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4093170    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H C. M. Wright           MD    3A-2A   (14- 5, 93.2)    10-11  o
 323 A North Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 8, 82.6)    16-13   
 327 A Francis Scott Key      MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 6, 82.4)    13-10   
 329 H Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (13- 5, 89.1)     9- 8   
 403 A Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 72.9)    16- 4   
 412 N Manchester Valley      MD    2A-1A   (11- 4, 88.4)    19- 9   
 414 H Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (11- 5, 90.3)     9-12   
 414 H Marriotts Ridge        MD    3A-2A   (17- 1, 99.1)     3- 9   
 418 A Our Lady of Good Couns DC    WCAC    (13- 7, 91.3)    11-10   
 420 H Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (14- 4, 92.5)     7-11   
 424 A South Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 3-11, 72.2)    16- 5   
 426 H Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (18- 1, 99.9)     5-13   
 501 H Oakdale                MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 9, 72.8)    18- 4   
 503 A Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   ( 4-10, 78.4)    16-10   
 511 H Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 6, 78.7)    18- 3   
 515 N Francis Scott Key      MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 6, 82.4)    17- 8   
 516 H Manchester Valley      MD    2A-1A   (11- 4, 88.4)    18-10   
 518 N Loch Raven             MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 7, 84.4)    16- 4   
 522 N Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (14- 4, 92.5)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H C. M. Wright           10-11  o   -1    -2           1.21
   323 A North Carroll          16-13       3     7    --    -4.50
   327 A Francis Scott Key      13-10       3     7    --    -4.76
   329 H Westminster, MD         9- 8       1     1          -0.90
   403 A Linganore              16- 4      12    17           0.00
   412 N Manchester Valley      19- 9      10     2    +++    7.85
   414 H Glenelg HS              9-12      -3     0    -     -3.76
   414 H Marriotts Ridge         3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.07
   418 A Our Lady of Good Couns 11-10       1    -1          n/a  
   420 H Fallston                7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.55
   424 A South Carroll          16- 5      11    17           0.00
   426 H Century, MD             5-13      -8    -8           0.88
   501 H Oakdale                18- 4      14    18           0.00
   503 A Liberty, MD            16-10       6    11    --    -4.00
   511 H Walkersville           18- 3      15    12           0.00
   515 N Francis Scott Key      17- 8       9     8           0.79
   516 H Manchester Valley      18-10       8     2    ++     5.40
   518 N Loch Raven             16- 4      12     6    +      3.81
   522 N Fallston                9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A North Carroll          16-13       3     7    --    -4.50
   327 A Francis Scott Key      13-10       3     7    --    -4.76
   503 A Liberty, MD            16-10       6    11    --    -4.00
   414 H Glenelg HS              9-12      -3     0    -     -3.76
   420 H Fallston                7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.55
   522 N Fallston                9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 N Manchester Valley      19- 9      10     2    +++    7.85
   516 H Manchester Valley      18-10       8     2    ++     5.40
   414 H Marriotts Ridge         3- 9      -6    -8    +      2.07
   418 A Our Lady of Good Couns 11-10       1    -1    +          
   518 N Loch Raven             16- 4      12     6    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.57 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.45 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/