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Conf = L1 Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Colonials Coach = Pete FriedmanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.9044724 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 328 A Sachem East NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 88.0) 5- 7 330 H Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (17- 2, 95.7) 5- 8 402 A Half Hollow Hills NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 85.0) 7-12 404 A Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 ( 5- 9, 82.9) 15-14 o 410 H Northport NY A Sec 11 (11- 5, 94.9) 6-17 412 H Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 7, 80.4) 12- 8 418 H Sachem North NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 7, 80.7) 16-15 420 H East Islip NY A Sec 11 (13- 6, 92.0) 5-10 424 A Walt Whitman, NY NY A Sec 11 ( 6- 9, 76.4) 14- 7 426 H West Islip NY A Sec 11 (12- 7, 88.5) 10-19 428 A Rocky Point NY B Sec 11 ( 9- 8, 86.8) 8-10 501 A Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 80.8) 13-14 503 A Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 (19- 2, 99.9) 2-14 507 A West Babylon NY A Sec 11 (13- 4, 94.1) 4-11 509 H Lindenhurst NY A Sec 11 ( 4-12, 77.7) 11- 6 518 A West Islip NY A Sec 11 (12- 7, 88.5) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Sachem East 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.84 330 H Ward Melville 5- 8 -3 -13 +++ 7.00 402 A Half Hollow Hills 7-12 -5 -3 -1.18 404 A Smithtown East 15-14 o 1 -1 + 2.66 410 H Northport 6-17 -11 -12 0.00 412 H Patchogue-Medford 12- 8 4 1 + 2.18 418 H Sachem North 16-15 1 1 -0.56 420 H East Islip 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.71 424 A Walt Whitman, NY 14- 7 7 4 + 2.21 426 H West Islip 10-19 -9 -6 - -2.77 428 A Rocky Point 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.63 501 A Smithtown West 13-14 -1 0 -1.37 503 A Bay Shore 2-14 -12 -18 0.00 507 A West Babylon 4-11 -7 -12 + 3.00 509 H Lindenhurst 11- 6 5 4 0.48 518 A West Islip 8- 9 -1 -7 +++ 6.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H West Islip 10-19 -9 -6 - -2.77OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Ward Melville 5- 8 -3 -13 +++ 7.00 518 A West Islip 8- 9 -1 -7 +++ 6.28 328 A Sachem East 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.84 420 H East Islip 5-10 -5 -9 ++ 4.71 404 A Smithtown East 15-14 o 1 -1 + 2.66 412 H Patchogue-Medford 12- 8 4 1 + 2.18 424 A Walt Whitman, NY 14- 7 7 4 + 2.21 428 A Rocky Point 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.63 507 A West Babylon 4-11 -7 -12 + 3.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.72 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 71.43 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 44 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 30 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0