Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Pete Friedman         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9044724    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.0)     5- 7   
 330 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 95.7)     5- 8   
 402 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 85.0)     7-12   
 404 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 82.9)    15-14  o
 410 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 94.9)     6-17   
 412 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 80.4)    12- 8   
 418 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 80.7)    16-15   
 420 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 92.0)     5-10   
 424 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 76.4)    14- 7   
 426 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 88.5)    10-19   
 428 A Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 86.8)     8-10   
 501 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.8)    13-14   
 503 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     2-14   
 507 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 94.1)     4-11   
 509 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 77.7)    11- 6   
 518 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 88.5)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Sachem East             5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.84
   330 H Ward Melville           5- 8      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   402 A Half Hollow Hills       7-12      -5    -3          -1.18
   404 A Smithtown East         15-14  o    1    -1    +      2.66
   410 H Northport               6-17     -11   -12           0.00
   412 H Patchogue-Medford      12- 8       4     1    +      2.18
   418 H Sachem North           16-15       1     1          -0.56
   420 H East Islip              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.71
   424 A Walt Whitman, NY       14- 7       7     4    +      2.21
   426 H West Islip             10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.77
   428 A Rocky Point             8-10      -2    -5    +      3.63
   501 A Smithtown West         13-14      -1     0          -1.37
   503 A Bay Shore               2-14     -12   -18           0.00
   507 A West Babylon            4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   509 H Lindenhurst            11- 6       5     4           0.48
   518 A West Islip              8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H West Islip             10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Ward Melville           5- 8      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   518 A West Islip              8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.28
   328 A Sachem East             5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.84
   420 H East Islip              5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.71
   404 A Smithtown East         15-14  o    1    -1    +      2.66
   412 H Patchogue-Medford      12- 8       4     1    +      2.18
   424 A Walt Whitman, NY       14- 7       7     4    +      2.21
   428 A Rocky Point             8-10      -2    -5    +      3.63
   507 A West Babylon            4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.72 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.43 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/