Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Colleen Williams      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2606659    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (11- 8, 83.1)    17- 6   
 331 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.3)    19- 3   
 405 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 96.3)    15-10   
 410 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 84.6)     5- 3   
 419 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.7)     9-11   
 425 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 92.9)     9- 6   
 428 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 93.2)     5-16   
 501 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 9, 94.8)     4-14   
 503 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.7)     5-16   
 507 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 90.4)     7-13   
 509 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 92.9)     4-12   
 511 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 93.2)    16-12   
 512 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 90.4)    13- 8   
 515 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 9, 94.8)    11-10 2o
 516 A Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 76.7)    13- 2   
 522 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 93.2)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H East Rochester         17- 6      11     8           1.39
   331 H West Seneca East       19- 3      16     7          n/a  
   405 H Lancaster, NY          15-10       5    -4          n/a  
   410 A Penn Yan Academy        5- 3       2     4    -     -2.78
   419 A Pittsford               9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.37
   425 H Rush-Henrietta          9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.20
   428 A Webster Thomas          5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.11
   501 A Penfield                4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.52
   503 H Pittsford               5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.95
   507 A Fairport                7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.95
   509 A Rush-Henrietta          4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.48
   511 H Webster Thomas         16-12       4    -1    ++     5.57
   512 H Fairport               13- 8       5     1    +      3.73
   515 H Penfield               11-10 2o    1    -3    ++     4.16
   516 A Spencerport            13- 2      11    12           0.00
   522 A Webster Thomas          9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Webster Thomas          5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.11
   501 A Penfield                4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.52
   507 A Fairport                7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.95
   509 A Rush-Henrietta          4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.48
   410 A Penn Yan Academy        5- 3       2     4    -     -2.78
   503 H Pittsford               5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.95
   522 A Webster Thomas          9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Lancaster, NY          15-10       5    -4    +++        
   419 A Pittsford               9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.37
   425 H Rush-Henrietta          9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.20
   511 H Webster Thomas         16-12       4    -1    ++     5.57
   515 H Penfield               11-10 2o    1    -3    ++     4.16
   331 H West Seneca East       19- 3      16     7    +          
   512 H Fairport               13- 8       5     1    +      3.73
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.51 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.61 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/