Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6125717    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (13- 5, 92.6)     6- 5   
 323 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 88.5)    16- 6   
 328 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 80.7)    11- 7   
 330 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)     8- 5   
 403 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 93.7)    14- 7   
 404 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 76.4)    17- 4   
 412 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 82.9)    14- 5   
 416 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 94.9)    11- 9   
 418 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 86.4)    10- 9   
 420 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)    10- 8   
 424 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.0)    12- 9   
 427 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 85.0)    15- 6   
 501 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 77.7)    14- 6   
 503 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 92.0)    11-10   
 509 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.8)    15- 3   
 511 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 94.1)     5-12   
 521 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 86.4)    17- 9   
 523 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 92.0)    13- 5   
 530 N Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Sayville                6- 5       1     2          -1.55
   323 H West Islip             16- 6      10     7    +      2.27
   328 A Sachem North           11- 7       4    14    ---   -6.00
   330 A William Floyd           8- 5       3    13    ---   -7.00
   403 H Yorktown, NY           14- 7       7     2          n/a  
   404 H Walt Whitman, NY       17- 4      13    19           0.00
   412 A Smithtown East         14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   416 H Northport              11- 9       2     1           0.71
   418 H Middle Country         10- 9       1     9    ---   -8.84
   420 A Bay Shore              10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.74
   424 H Sachem East            12- 9       3     8    --    -5.17
   427 H Half Hollow Hills      15- 6       9    11          -1.00
   501 A Lindenhurst            14- 6       8    17    -     -2.00
   503 H East Islip             11-10       1     4    -     -3.25
   509 A Smithtown West         15- 3      12    14           0.00
   511 A West Babylon            5-12      -7     1    ---   -8.03
   521 H Middle Country         17- 9       8     9          -1.84
   523 H East Islip             13- 5       8     4    +      3.75
   530 N Bay Shore               5-11      -6    -4          -1.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Sachem North           11- 7       4    14    ---   -6.00
   330 A William Floyd           8- 5       3    13    ---   -7.00
   418 H Middle Country         10- 9       1     9    ---   -8.84
   511 A West Babylon            5-12      -7     1    ---   -8.03
   424 H Sachem East            12- 9       3     8    --    -5.17
   501 A Lindenhurst            14- 6       8    17    -     -2.00
   503 H East Islip             11-10       1     4    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Bay Shore              10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.74
   403 H Yorktown, NY           14- 7       7     2    ++         
   323 H West Islip             16- 6      10     7    +      2.27
   523 H East Islip             13- 5       8     4    +      3.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.68 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.62 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.200.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/