Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Carin Peterson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.4984665    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Old Mill               MD    4A-3A   ( 3-11, 70.7)    20- 2   
 323 H Chesapeake, Pasadena   MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 8, 78.3)    18- 4   
 327 A Northeast, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 9, 76.0)    16- 3   
 405 N Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 9-11, 82.0)    11- 9   
 407 N Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 7-13, 80.8)    13-10   
 411 H North County           MD    4A-3A   ( 3-10, 73.1)    18- 3   
 413 A Glen Burnie            MD    4A-3A   ( 1-11, 61.3)    20- 3   
 416 A St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 2-16, 75.9)    10- 7   
 417 A Meade                  MD    4A-3A   ( 2-10, 65.6)    20- 0   
 420 H Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (14- 3, 93.0)     8- 7   
 424 A Southern, Anne Arundel MD    2A-1A   (12- 5, 87.9)    12- 7   
 427 H Annapolis, MD          MD    4A-3A   (11- 3, 88.4)     6- 7   
 501 A South River            MD    4A-3A   (13- 4, 92.4)     9-11   
 504 A Arundel                MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 7, 83.9)    18- 7   
 509 H Old Mill               MD    4A-3A   ( 3-11, 70.7)    21- 3   
 512 A Huntingtown            MD    4A-3A   (11- 3, 81.7)    18- 0   
 514 A South River            MD    4A-3A   (13- 4, 92.4)     8- 5   
 516 A Leonardtown            MD    4A-3A   (14- 3, 89.5)    13-12   
 518 N Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   (17- 2, 93.5)    15-10   
 523 N Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (13- 5, 89.1)    13- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Old Mill               20- 2      18    24           0.00
   323 H Chesapeake, Pasadena   18- 4      14    17           0.00
   327 A Northeast, MD          16- 3      13    18           0.00
   405 N Severn School          11- 9       2    13          n/a  
   407 N Archbishop Spalding    13-10       3    14          n/a  
   411 H North County           18- 3      15    22           0.00
   413 A Glen Burnie            20- 3      17    33           0.00
   416 A St. Mary's, MD         10- 7       3    18          n/a  
   417 A Meade                  20- 0      20    28           0.00
   420 H Broadneck               8- 7       1     2          -1.47
   424 A Southern, Anne Arundel 12- 7       5     6          -1.61
   427 H Annapolis, MD           6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.02
   501 A South River             9-11      -2     2    --    -4.16
   504 A Arundel                18- 7      11    10           0.00
   509 H Old Mill               21- 3      18    24           0.00
   512 A Huntingtown            18- 0      18    12           0.00
   514 A South River             8- 5       3     2           0.84
   516 A Leonardtown            13-12       1     5    --    -4.08
   518 N Catonsville            15-10       5     1    +      3.48
   523 N Westminster, MD        13- 6       7     5           1.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 N Severn School          11- 9       2    13    ---        
   407 N Archbishop Spalding    13-10       3    14    ---        
   416 A St. Mary's, MD         10- 7       3    18    ---        
   427 H Annapolis, MD           6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.02
   501 A South River             9-11      -2     2    --    -4.16
   516 A Leonardtown            13-12       1     5    --    -4.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 N Catonsville            15-10       5     1    +      3.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.01 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.09 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/