Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kara Thiede           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7096863    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A National Cathedral, DC DC    ISL A   ( 9- 7, 78.9)    10-10   
 315 H St. Mary's Ryken       DC    WCAC    ( 6-13, 73.6)    10- 9   
 316 A Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 79.6)    11-13   
 320 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL A   (11- 4, 81.1)    11-10   
 323 A St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 9- 8, 74.8)    18- 6   
 328 H Paul VI CS, VA         DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 72.0)    19- 8   
 330 N New Trier              IL    C Sub   (23- 3, 99.1)     6-11   
 331 A Loyola Academy, IL     IL    Indep   (22- 3, 99.9)     6-11   
 401 N Upper Arlington        OH    D1 S    (17- 4, 99.6)     4-11   
 410 H Madeira School         DC    ISL A   ( 6-13, 70.4)    17-10   
 413 H Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  ( 6-15, 77.2)    13-10   
 420 A Sidwell Friends        DC    ISL A   ( 6- 9, 75.9)     8-12   
 424 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (26- 3, 99.9)     2-15   
 426 A Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  (13-10, 83.7)     9-10   
 501 A Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  (11-10, 81.5)    15-19   
 504 H Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  (10-12, 79.6)    10- 7   
 508 H Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (18- 2, 96.5)    11-20   
 513 N Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (18- 2, 96.5)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A National Cathedral, DC 10-10       0     0           0.17
   315 H St. Mary's Ryken       10- 9       1     6    --    -5.60
   316 A Elizabeth Seton        11-13      -2     0          -1.14
   320 H Holton-Arms School     11-10       1     0           1.89
   323 A St. John's College, DC 18- 6      12     3    +++    6.01
   328 H Paul VI CS, VA         19- 8      11     8           1.76
   330 N New Trier               6-11      -5   -19          n/a  
   331 A Loyola Academy, IL      6-11      -5   -21          n/a  
   401 N Upper Arlington         4-11      -7   -20          n/a  
   410 H Madeira School         17-10       7     9    -     -2.82
   413 H Episcopal, VA          13-10       3     3          -0.06
   420 A Sidwell Friends         8-12      -4     2    ---   -6.92
   424 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  2-15     -13   -21           0.00
   426 A Flint Hill School       9-10      -1    -4    +      3.93
   501 A Holy Child, MD         15-19      -4    -2          -1.30
   504 H Bullis School          10- 7       3     0    +      2.37
   508 H Georgetown Visitation  11-20      -9   -16           1.00
   513 N Georgetown Visitation   5-17     -12   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Sidwell Friends         8-12      -4     2    ---   -6.92
   315 H St. Mary's Ryken       10- 9       1     6    --    -5.60
   410 H Madeira School         17-10       7     9    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A St. John's College, DC 18- 6      12     3    +++    6.01
   330 N New Trier               6-11      -5   -19    ++         
   331 A Loyola Academy, IL      6-11      -5   -21    ++         
   401 N Upper Arlington         4-11      -7   -20    +          
   426 A Flint Hill School       9-10      -1    -4    +      3.93
   504 H Bullis School          10- 7       3     0    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.50 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.44 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/