Region = MA    Cen D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Sean Chenevert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8849106    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  (12- 8, 79.9)    11-10  o
 405 H Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (15- 4, 90.4)     8-16   
 407 H Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (14- 5, 79.9)     9-13   
 410 A Wachusett              MA    Cen D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    19- 5   
 412 H Groton-Dunstable       MA    Cen D1  (12-10, 81.6)    13-11   
 419 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    Cen D1  ( 9- 9, 72.1)    16- 6   
 421 A Nipmuc                 MA    Cen D1  (11- 9, 74.2)    16- 9   
 424 H Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (21- 2, 92.5)     7-13   
 426 H St. Peter-Marian       MA    Cen D1  ( 1-15, 56.2)    17- 2   
 427 A Chelmsford             MA    No D1   (14- 8, 81.5)    11-17   
 501 A North Middlesex        MA    Cen D1  ( 4-13, 70.5)    12- 3   
 503 H Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  (12- 8, 79.9)    13- 8   
 508 A Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (15- 4, 90.4)    14-15   
 510 H Wachusett              MA    Cen D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    13- 5   
 515 A Groton-Dunstable       MA    Cen D1  (12-10, 81.6)    18-16   
 517 A Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (21- 2, 92.5)     6-14   
 521 H Chelmsford             MA    No D1   (14- 8, 81.5)    10-11   
 523 H North Middlesex        MA    Cen D1  ( 4-13, 70.5)    16- 5   
 530 H St. Bernard's, MA      MA    Cen D1  ( 8- 9, 70.4)    17- 5   
 602 H Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  (12- 8, 79.9)    15-10   
 607 N Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (21- 2, 92.5)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Nashoba Regional       11-10  o    1     1          -0.94
   405 H Westborough             8-16      -8    -7          -0.64
   407 H Tantasqua               9-13      -4     3    ---   -7.13
   410 A Wachusett              19- 5      14     7    +      2.55
   412 H Groton-Dunstable       13-11       2     1           0.50
   419 A Grafton Memorial, MA   16- 6      10     9           0.26
   421 A Nipmuc                 16- 9       7     7          -0.72
   424 H Algonquin               7-13      -6    -9    +      3.45
   426 H St. Peter-Marian       17- 2      15    26           0.00
   427 A Chelmsford             11-17      -6     0    ---   -6.42
   501 A North Middlesex        12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   503 H Nashoba Regional       13- 8       5     3           1.86
   508 A Westborough            14-15      -1    -8    +++    7.56
   510 H Wachusett              13- 5       8     8          -0.65
   515 A Groton-Dunstable       18-16       2     0           1.70
   517 A Algonquin               6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   521 H Chelmsford             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.62
   523 H North Middlesex        16- 5      11    12           0.00
   530 H St. Bernard's, MA      17- 5      12    12           0.00
   602 H Nashoba Regional       15-10       5     3           1.86
   607 N Algonquin               5-17     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Tantasqua               9-13      -4     3    ---   -7.13
   427 A Chelmsford             11-17      -6     0    ---   -6.42
   521 H Chelmsford             10-11      -1     1    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Westborough            14-15      -1    -8    +++    7.56
   410 A Wachusett              19- 5      14     7    +      2.55
   424 H Algonquin               7-13      -6    -9    +      3.45
   517 A Algonquin               6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.47 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.46 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   138
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/