Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Allison Bourgal       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4977417    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Miller Place           NY B  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 82.1)    11- 9   
 323 H Copiague               NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-13, 60.1)    14- 1   
 328 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 81.7)     7- 5   
 330 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-12, 68.1)    13- 3   
 331 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.9)     8- 4   
 404 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 88.5)    12-14   
 410 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 76.4)    15- 5   
 412 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 85.0)    11- 9   
 414 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 80.7)    15- 3   
 416 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.8)    20-18  o
 418 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     3-15   
 424 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 95.7)     9-12   
 427 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 77.7)     9- 3   
 503 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 80.4)    14- 8   
 509 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 94.1)    10-14   
 511 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 94.9)    11-17   
 518 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 80.8)    15- 2   
 521 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (19- 2, 99.9)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Miller Place           11- 9       2     5    -     -3.40
   323 H Copiague               14- 1      13    28           0.00
   328 H William Floyd           7- 5       2     6    --    -4.84
   330 A Brentwood, NY          13- 3      10    19           0.00
   331 A Comsewogue              8- 4       4     5          -1.62
   404 H West Islip             12-14      -2     0    -     -2.09
   410 A Walt Whitman, NY       15- 5      10    11           0.00
   412 A Half Hollow Hills      11- 9       2     2          -0.50
   414 H Sachem North           15- 3      12     7    +      2.12
   416 A Smithtown West         20-18  o    2     6    --    -4.68
   418 A Bay Shore               3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   424 A Ward Melville           9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.17
   427 H Lindenhurst             9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   503 A Patchogue-Medford      14- 8       6     7          -1.09
   509 H West Babylon           10-14      -4    -5           1.57
   511 H Northport              11-17      -6    -6           0.36
   518 H Smithtown West         15- 2      13     7    +      2.27
   521 A Bay Shore               7-17     -10   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H William Floyd           7- 5       2     6    --    -4.84
   416 A Smithtown West         20-18  o    2     6    --    -4.68
   427 H Lindenhurst             9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   316 A Miller Place           11- 9       2     5    -     -3.40
   404 H West Islip             12-14      -2     0    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Ward Melville           9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.17
   414 H Sachem North           15- 3      12     7    +      2.12
   518 H Smithtown West         15- 2      13     7    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.03 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.09 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/