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Conf = L1 Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows Coach = Allison BourgalGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.4977417 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 316 A Miller Place NY B Sec 11 ( 7-10, 82.1) 11- 9 323 H Copiague NY B Sec 11 ( 0-13, 60.1) 14- 1 328 H William Floyd NY A Sec 11 ( 5-11, 81.7) 7- 5 330 A Brentwood, NY NY A Sec 11 ( 2-12, 68.1) 13- 3 331 A Comsewogue NY B Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 81.9) 8- 4 404 H West Islip NY A Sec 11 (12- 7, 88.5) 12-14 410 A Walt Whitman, NY NY A Sec 11 ( 6- 9, 76.4) 15- 5 412 A Half Hollow Hills NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 85.0) 11- 9 414 H Sachem North NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 7, 80.7) 15- 3 416 A Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 80.8) 20-18 o 418 A Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 (19- 2, 99.9) 3-15 424 A Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (17- 2, 95.7) 9-12 427 H Lindenhurst NY A Sec 11 ( 4-12, 77.7) 9- 3 503 A Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 7, 80.4) 14- 8 509 H West Babylon NY A Sec 11 (13- 4, 94.1) 10-14 511 H Northport NY A Sec 11 (11- 5, 94.9) 11-17 518 H Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 80.8) 15- 2 521 A Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 (19- 2, 99.9) 7-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Miller Place 11- 9 2 5 - -3.40 323 H Copiague 14- 1 13 28 0.00 328 H William Floyd 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.84 330 A Brentwood, NY 13- 3 10 19 0.00 331 A Comsewogue 8- 4 4 5 -1.62 404 H West Islip 12-14 -2 0 - -2.09 410 A Walt Whitman, NY 15- 5 10 11 0.00 412 A Half Hollow Hills 11- 9 2 2 -0.50 414 H Sachem North 15- 3 12 7 + 2.12 416 A Smithtown West 20-18 o 2 6 -- -4.68 418 A Bay Shore 3-15 -12 -12 0.00 424 A Ward Melville 9-12 -3 -8 ++ 5.17 427 H Lindenhurst 9- 3 6 10 -- -4.00 503 A Patchogue-Medford 14- 8 6 7 -1.09 509 H West Babylon 10-14 -4 -5 1.57 511 H Northport 11-17 -6 -6 0.36 518 H Smithtown West 15- 2 13 7 + 2.27 521 A Bay Shore 7-17 -10 -12 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H William Floyd 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.84 416 A Smithtown West 20-18 o 2 6 -- -4.68 427 H Lindenhurst 9- 3 6 10 -- -4.00 316 A Miller Place 11- 9 2 5 - -3.40 404 H West Islip 12-14 -2 0 - -2.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Ward Melville 9-12 -3 -8 ++ 5.17 414 H Sachem North 15- 3 12 7 + 2.12 518 H Smithtown West 15- 2 13 7 + 2.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.03 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 66.09 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 36 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0