Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kristen LaPlume Arsene

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.8426056    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Patapsco               MD    3A-2A   ( 8- 6, 71.6)    19- 2   
 328 A Towson HS              MD    3A-2A   (10- 4, 88.6)     5-13   
 330 H Dulaney                MD    4A-3A   (10- 7, 86.3)     8-10   
 409 H Old Mill               MD    4A-3A   ( 3-11, 70.7)    19- 5   
 412 A Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   (17- 2, 93.5)    17-16  o
 417 H Franklin, MD           MD    3A-2A   ( 1-11, 70.7)    16- 6   
 419 A Pikesville             MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 8, 72.1)    15- 8   
 420 H Joppatowne             MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 8, 69.0)    15- 2   
 426 A Eastern Technical      MD    3A-2A   ( 4- 8, 70.7)    20- 3   
 501 H Loch Raven             MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 7, 84.4)    13-11   
 503 A Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (12- 4, 90.1)     3-10   
 511 H Kenwood                MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 9, 66.2)    20- 1   
 514 A Polytechnic, Baltimore MD    3A-2A   ( 2- 2, 65.4)    17- 1   
 516 A Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   (17- 2, 93.5)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Patapsco               19- 2      17    15           0.00
   328 A Towson HS               5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.22
   330 H Dulaney                 8-10      -2     0    -     -2.39
   409 H Old Mill               19- 5      14    16           0.00
   412 A Catonsville            17-16  o    1    -7    +++    8.68
   417 H Franklin, MD           16- 6      10    16           0.00
   419 A Pikesville             15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   420 H Joppatowne             15- 2      13    17           0.00
   426 A Eastern Technical      20- 3      17    15           0.00
   501 H Loch Raven             13-11       2     2          -0.34
   503 A Hereford                3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.75
   511 H Kenwood                20- 1      19    20           0.00
   514 A Polytechnic, Baltimore 17- 1      16    20           0.00
   516 A Catonsville             6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Towson HS               5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.22
   330 H Dulaney                 8-10      -2     0    -     -2.39
   419 A Pikesville             15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   503 A Hereford                3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.75
   516 A Catonsville             6-18     -12    -7    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Catonsville            17-16  o    1    -7    +++    8.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.27 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.56 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   102
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/