Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.3375854    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Brockport              NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 79.2)    16- 2   
 328 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (11-12, 93.4)    13-11   
 404 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (18- 4, 99.9)     9-11   
 409 A Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (17- 2, 99.9)     4-17   
 417 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 96.6)    11-12   
 421 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 92.9)     5- 6   
 425 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 90.4)     7-11   
 427 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.7)     8- 7   
 501 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.5)    14- 4   
 503 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 92.9)     5- 8   
 505 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 94.6)     8-14   
 507 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 93.2)     9- 8  o
 509 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 90.4)    14- 6   
 511 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.7)     8- 7   
 515 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 7, 90.5)    10-11 2o
 517 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 93.2)    11-10   
 522 H Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 89.2)    12- 7   
 524 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (10- 7, 92.9)    10- 3   
 530 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (13- 6, 97.7)     8- 7   
 602 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 96.3)    15- 9   
 608 N Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (17- 2, 98.4)     5- 4 2o
 609 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.9)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Brockport              16- 2      14    16           0.00
   328 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     13-11       2     2          -0.56
   404 A Canandaigua Academy     9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.24
   409 A Farmingdale             4-17     -13    -5          n/a  
   417 H Irondequoit            11-12      -1     0          -0.41
   421 H Rush-Henrietta          5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.11
   425 H Fairport                7-11      -4     5    ---   -9.59
   427 A Pittsford               8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.05
   501 H Webster Schroeder      14- 4      10     5    ++     4.52
   503 A Rush-Henrietta          5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.79
   505 A Victor                  8-14      -6     0    --    -5.03
   507 H Webster Thomas          9- 8  o    1     2          -1.75
   509 A Fairport               14- 6       8     3    ++     4.73
   511 H Pittsford               8- 7       1    -1    +      2.73
   515 A Webster Schroeder      10-11 2o   -1     3    --    -4.16
   517 A Webster Thomas         11-10       1     0           0.57
   522 H Our Lady of Mercy, NY  12- 7       5     6          -1.79
   524 N Rush-Henrietta         10- 3       7     1    ++     5.05
   530 N Pittsford               8- 7       1    -2    +      3.89
   602 N Lancaster, NY          15- 9       6    -1          n/a  
   608 N Shaker                  5- 4 2o    1    -3          n/a  
   609 N West Genesee            5- 9      -4    -5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Fairport                7-11      -4     5    ---   -9.59
   409 A Farmingdale             4-17     -13    -5    --         
   421 H Rush-Henrietta          5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.11
   505 A Victor                  8-14      -6     0    --    -5.03
   515 A Webster Schroeder      10-11 2o   -1     3    --    -4.16
   503 A Rush-Henrietta          5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 N Lancaster, NY          15- 9       6    -1    +++        
   404 A Canandaigua Academy     9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.24
   427 A Pittsford               8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.05
   501 H Webster Schroeder      14- 4      10     5    ++     4.52
   509 A Fairport               14- 6       8     3    ++     4.73
   524 N Rush-Henrietta         10- 3       7     1    ++     5.05
   608 N Shaker                  5- 4 2o    1    -3    ++         
   511 H Pittsford               8- 7       1    -1    +      2.73
   530 N Pittsford               8- 7       1    -2    +      3.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.82 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.01 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/