Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Kathy Koscinski       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   64.8234863    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 2-10, 66.0)     6-20   
 315 A Gar-Field              VA    NW AAA  ( 1-10, 56.2)    13-15   
 320 A Robert E. Lee          VA    Pat     ( 4- 8, 71.1)     3-16   
 326 A Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AA   (12- 7, 81.2)     3-22   
 329 A Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 3- 8, 68.0)     7-17   
 412 H George Mason           VA    NW AA   ( 2- 8, 67.1)   
 416 A Tuscarora, VA          VA    NW AA   ( 8-10, 71.6)     7-13   
 419 A Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   ( 5- 7, 71.9)     3-22   
 423 H Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (13- 6, 81.9)   
 424 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 2-11, 59.8)    13-14 2o
 426 H Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 6- 8, 72.1)     4-19   
 430 H Woodgrove              VA    NW AA   (15- 4, 88.0)     1-20   
 503 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 2-10, 66.0)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Potomac Falls           6-20     -14   -11           0.00
   315 A Gar-Field              13-15      -2    -1          -0.08
   320 A Robert E. Lee           3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   326 A Loudoun Valley          3-22     -19   -26           0.00
   329 A Heritage, VA            7-17     -10   -13           0.00
   416 A Tuscarora, VA           7-13      -6   -17    ++     4.00
   419 A Briar Woods             3-22     -19   -17           0.00
   424 H Wakefield HS, VA       13-14 2o   -1    -3    +      2.28
   426 H Dominion                4-19     -15   -15           0.00
   430 H Woodgrove               1-20     -19   -31           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Tuscarora, VA           7-13      -6   -17    ++     4.00
   424 H Wakefield HS, VA       13-14 2o   -1    -3    +      2.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 55.39 Local Power Rank...........   108
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.10 Local SOS Rank.............    76
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.28 Local RPI Rank.............   114
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    78
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   112
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   17.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -19.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.7
/