Region = MD    2A-1A            
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   E. Nave               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.0813980    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    3A-2A   ( 2-12, 64.3)    14-12   
 326 A Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 77.9)    10-19   
 329 H Catoctin               MD    2A-1A   ( 6- 8, 69.2)    16- 6   
 403 H Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   ( 4-10, 78.4)     6-14   
 405 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   (10- 4, 81.9)    10- 9   
 410 A Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 72.9)    11-13   
 412 H Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 6, 78.7)     8- 9   
 417 A Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (18- 1, 99.9)     4-22   
 419 H Brunswick, MD          MD    2A-1A   ( 4- 9, 68.7)     9- 4   
 424 A Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 5- 8, 73.4)     9-14   
 426 H Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (11- 4, 85.0)     7-17   
 501 A Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   (13- 6, 90.6)     4-18   
 509 H Smithsburg             MD    2A-1A   ( 2-11, 63.6)    24-17   
 511 H North Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 8, 82.6)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    14-12       2     9    ---   -7.01
   326 A Urbana                 10-19      -9    -5    -     -3.51
   329 H Catoctin               16- 6      10     4    ++     5.89
   403 H Liberty, MD             6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.91
   405 H Tuscarora, MD          10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.62
   410 A Linganore              11-13      -2     0          -1.50
   412 H Walkersville            8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.37
   417 A Century, MD             4-22     -18   -27           0.00
   419 H Brunswick, MD           9- 4       5     4           0.37
   424 A Frederick               9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.94
   426 H Middletown, MD          7-17     -10   -11           0.00
   501 A Winters Mill            4-18     -14   -18           0.00
   509 H Smithsburg             24-17       7     9    -     -2.67
   511 H North Carroll          10-16      -6    -9    +      3.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    14-12       2     9    ---   -7.01
   326 A Urbana                 10-19      -9    -5    -     -3.51
   403 H Liberty, MD             6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.91
   424 A Frederick               9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.94
   509 H Smithsburg             24-17       7     9    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Tuscarora, MD          10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.62
   329 H Catoctin               16- 6      10     4    ++     5.89
   412 H Walkersville            8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.37
   511 H North Carroll          10-16      -6    -9    +      3.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.83 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.69 Local SOS Rank.............    61
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    83
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    90
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   103
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/