Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Kristen McGuinness    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1095505    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 85.1)     4-14   
 331 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 79.1)    13-11   
 402 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 81.1)    13-11   
 417 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 78.4)     8- 9   
 419 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 70.5)    14- 9   
 421 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 74.9)    13- 5   
 427 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.2)     7- 5   
 430 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.1)     7-11   
 501 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 78.4)    12-10   
 502 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 89.8)     9- 8   
 503 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 70.5)    14- 5   
 507 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.3)     4-15   
 510 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 96.8)     2-13   
 511 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 74.9)    12-11   
 512 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 87.4)     6-18   
 515 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.2)    14- 9   
 522 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.1)     8-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Orchard Park            4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.97
   331 H Iroquois               13-11       2     4    -     -2.22
   402 A Williamsville East     13-11       2     0    +      2.05
   417 H North Tonawanda         8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.92
   419 A Niagara Falls          14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   421 H Grand Island           13- 5       8     8          -0.45
   427 H Lockport                7- 5       2     6    --    -4.17
   430 H West Seneca West        7-11      -4    -6    +      2.70
   501 H North Tonawanda        12-10       2     4    -     -2.92
   502 H Williamsville South     9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.48
   503 H Niagara Falls          14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   507 A West Seneca East        4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.78
   510 H Frontier                2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   511 A Grand Island           12-11       1     6    --    -5.17
   512 H Clarence                6-18     -12    -4    --    -5.92
   515 A Lockport               14- 9       5     3           1.11
   522 A West Seneca West        8-19     -11    -8          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A West Seneca East        4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.78
   329 A Orchard Park            4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.97
   417 H North Tonawanda         8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.92
   419 A Niagara Falls          14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   427 H Lockport                7- 5       2     6    --    -4.17
   511 A Grand Island           12-11       1     6    --    -5.17
   512 H Clarence                6-18     -12    -4    --    -5.92
   331 H Iroquois               13-11       2     4    -     -2.22
   501 H North Tonawanda        12-10       2     4    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Williamsville South     9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.48
   402 A Williamsville East     13-11       2     0    +      2.05
   430 H West Seneca West        7-11      -4    -6    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.22 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.93 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/