Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Karen Redd            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.4066315    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 H Covenant School        VA    LIS     ( 9- 9, 74.8)    14-11   
 314 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AA   ( 1-12, 58.5)    21- 2   
 322 H Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 7- 8, 69.8)     7- 4   
 410 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AA   ( 1-12, 58.5)    14- 7   
 413 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    20- 7   
 414 N Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (11- 5, 90.3)     8-24   
 414 N Marriotts Ridge        MD    3A-2A   (17- 1, 99.1)     1-21   
 419 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)     9-16   
 421 A Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (13- 7, 75.8)    12-17   
 424 A Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 57.4)    21- 4   
 427 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)     8-17   
 501 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    12-11   
 505 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)    14-13   
 508 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)    14-17   
 511 H Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 57.4)    17- 4   
 515 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)    10-22   
 518 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    11-10   
 522 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA    NW AAA  (15- 2, 83.1)    12-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Covenant School        14-11       3     1           1.03
   314 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   21- 2      19    16           0.00
   322 H Rockbridge County       7- 4       3     6    -     -4.00
   410 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   413 A Charlottesville        20- 7      13     5    ++     4.27
   414 N Glenelg HS              8-24     -16   -14          n/a  
   414 N Marriotts Ridge         1-21     -20   -23          n/a  
   419 A Albemarle               9-16      -7    -9    +      2.09
   421 A Salem, VA              12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.83
   424 A Fluvanna               21- 4      17    17           0.00
   427 A Western Albemarle       8-17      -9    -8          -0.76
   501 H Charlottesville        12-11       1     7    ---   -6.92
   505 H Western Albemarle      14-13       1    -6    +++    7.05
   508 H Albemarle              14-17      -3    -6    +      3.91
   511 H Fluvanna               17- 4      13    19           0.00
   515 A Western Albemarle      10-22     -12    -8          -1.76
   518 H Charlottesville        11-10       1     7    ---   -6.92
   522 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 12-19      -7    -8           1.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Charlottesville        12-11       1     7    ---   -6.92
   518 H Charlottesville        11-10       1     7    ---   -6.92
   322 H Rockbridge County       7- 4       3     6    -     -4.00
   410 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   421 A Salem, VA              12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Western Albemarle      14-13       1    -6    +++    7.05
   413 A Charlottesville        20- 7      13     5    ++     4.27
   419 A Albemarle               9-16      -7    -9    +      2.09
   508 H Albemarle              14-17      -3    -6    +      3.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.69 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.72 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    58
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/