Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9915314    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 5-10, 66.6)    15- 1   
 405 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 69.3)    18- 0   
 410 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 (16- 2, 79.2)    18- 2   
 412 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 2, 90.4)     7-10   
 419 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 5, 83.4)    14- 7   
 421 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (18- 1, 99.9)    14-15   
 424 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8-12, 72.9)    17- 5   
 426 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 (11- 7, 76.2)    22- 4   
 428 A Glastonbury            CT    Class L (13- 7, 91.3)    12- 9   
 501 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 71.5)    18- 0   
 503 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 71.8)    17- 3   
 504 H Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (12- 3, 94.9)    10-11   
 511 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 5, 83.4)    19- 8   
 512 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (20- 3, 92.7)     8-10   
 514 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8-12, 72.9)    16- 5   
 517 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 71.5)    18- 1   
 519 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 2, 90.4)    14- 8   
 522 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 71.8)    18- 3   
 523 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA    No D1   (22- 2, 97.8)    10-13   
 524 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (11- 7, 76.2)    18- 2   
 606 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 69.3)    18- 1   
 607 N Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 5, 83.4)    15- 5   
 609 N Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 2, 90.4)    12-11   
 612 N Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (21- 2, 92.5)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Cathedral, MA          15- 1      14    23           0.00
   405 H West Springfield, MA   18- 0      18    22           0.00
   410 A Westfield HS, MA       18- 2      16    11           0.00
   412 H Minnechaug              7-10      -3     1    --    -4.16
   419 A Agawam                 14- 7       7     6           0.10
   421 A Guilderland            14-15      -1    -9          n/a  
   424 H Northampton            17- 5      12    18           0.00
   426 A South Hadley           22- 4      18    14           0.00
   428 A Glastonbury            12- 9       3    -1          n/a  
   501 H Amherst-Pelham         18- 0      18    20           0.00
   503 A East Longmeadow        17- 3      14    18           0.00
   504 H Loomis Chaffee School  10-11      -1    -3          n/a  
   511 H Agawam                 19- 8      11     8           1.90
   512 H Andover, MA             8-10      -2    -1          -0.84
   514 A Northampton            16- 5      11    17           0.00
   517 A Amherst-Pelham         18- 1      17    18           0.00
   519 A Minnechaug             14- 8       6     0    +++    6.04
   522 H East Longmeadow        18- 3      15    19           0.00
   523 A Lincoln-Sudbury        10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.45
   524 H South Hadley           18- 2      16    15           0.00
   606 H West Springfield, MA   18- 1      17    22           0.00
   607 N Agawam                 15- 5      10     7    +      2.50
   609 N Minnechaug             12-11       1     0           0.44
   612 N Algonquin               9-10      -1    -1           0.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Minnechaug              7-10      -3     1    --    -4.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Guilderland            14-15      -1    -9    +++        
   519 A Minnechaug             14- 8       6     0    +++    6.04
   428 A Glastonbury            12- 9       3    -1    ++         
   523 A Lincoln-Sudbury        10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.45
   504 H Loomis Chaffee School  10-11      -1    -3    +          
   607 N Agawam                 15- 5      10     7    +      2.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.93 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.02 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    80
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/