Region = WA    Alki             
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Beth Schumacher       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.8832092    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Roosevelt, WA          WA    No S    ( 6- 6, 80.9)     4-18   
 320 A Tahoma                 WA    Nisq    ( 2- 9, 63.7)     9- 5   
 322 H Evergreen, WA          WA    Nisq    ( 5- 7, 69.9)    16- 4   
 326 A Spanaway Lake          WA    Nisq    ( 5- 8, 65.9)    12- 8   
 403 A Bellevue               WA    Snoq    ( 6- 6, 80.3)     8-21   
 405 H Bellarmine Prep        WA    Pen     ( 2- 9, 66.7)    21- 9   
 418 H Seattle Prep School    WA    Alki    ( 9- 5, 87.2)     7-19   
 423 A Mercer Island          WA    Alki    (11- 4, 95.6)     0-24   
 427 A Ballard, WA            WA    Alki    ( 5- 7, 75.1)    11-12   
 430 H Curtis, WA             WA    Pen     ( 5- 7, 73.0)    15- 6   
 501 H Holy Names Acad, WA    WA    Alki    ( 6- 7, 81.4)     5-14   
 503 H Garfield, WA           WA    Alki    ( 4- 7, 76.8)    12-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Roosevelt, WA           4-18     -14    -7    -     -2.24
   320 A Tahoma                  9- 5       4     9    --    -5.41
   322 H Evergreen, WA          16- 4      12     5    ++     4.08
   326 A Spanaway Lake          12- 8       4     7    -     -3.21
   403 A Bellevue                8-21     -13    -7    -     -2.82
   405 H Bellarmine Prep        21- 9      12     9           0.85
   418 H Seattle Prep School     7-19     -12   -11           0.00
   423 A Mercer Island           0-24     -24   -22           0.00
   427 A Ballard, WA            11-12      -1    -2           1.00
   430 H Curtis, WA             15- 6       9     2    +++    6.17
   501 H Holy Names Acad, WA     5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.51
   503 H Garfield, WA           12-11       1     0           1.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Tahoma                  9- 5       4     9    --    -5.41
   313 A Roosevelt, WA           4-18     -14    -7    -     -2.24
   326 A Spanaway Lake          12- 8       4     7    -     -3.21
   403 A Bellevue                8-21     -13    -7    -     -2.82
   501 H Holy Names Acad, WA     5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Curtis, WA             15- 6       9     2    +++    6.17
   322 H Evergreen, WA          16- 4      12     5    ++     4.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.49 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.32 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -24.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/