Region = CT    Class M          
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Joe Sopko             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8143921    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A New Fairfield          CT    Class M (13- 6, 86.9)    13-17   
 411 H Pomperaug              CT    Class M ( 8-10, 79.3)    12- 9   
 412 A Staples                CT    Class L (14- 5, 90.8)    12-19   
 414 A Ridgefield             CT    Class L (12- 7, 90.2)     9-20   
 417 A Brookfield, CT         CT    Class M (12- 7, 84.8)    13-12   
 419 H Newtown                CT    Class L (18- 3, 93.7)    11-18   
 424 H Hamden                 CT    Class L ( 3-13, 71.4)    13- 5   
 427 H Branford               CT    Class M ( 9-11, 79.5)     8- 7   
 501 H New Milford            CT    Class L ( 8- 9, 81.5)    17-16   
 503 A Immaculate Heart, CT   CT    Class S ( 8- 9, 76.3)    18-14   
 505 A Avon                   CT    Class M (13- 5, 86.9)     9- 8   
 507 A Bethel, CT             CT    Class M ( 8-10, 78.3)    11-10 2o
 510 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT    Class S ( 2-14, 60.5)    20- 4   
 512 H South Windsor          CT    Class L ( 4-11, 78.1)    13-11   
 514 H Lauralton Hall         CT    Class S (11- 6, 80.6)    17- 7   
 517 H Norwalk                CT    Class L ( 7-10, 80.3)    13-10   
 521 H New Milford            CT    Class L ( 8- 9, 81.5)    15-16 3o
 531 H Windsor, CT            CT    Class M ( 8- 7, 77.7)    18- 8   
 604 A Wilton                 CT    Class M (17- 5, 95.8)     7-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A New Fairfield          13-17      -4    -3          -0.81
   411 H Pomperaug              12- 9       3     6    -     -3.14
   412 A Staples                12-19      -7    -7           0.17
   414 A Ridgefield              9-20     -11    -6    -     -3.50
   417 A Brookfield, CT         13-12       1    -1    +      2.13
   419 H Newtown                11-18      -7    -8           1.32
   424 H Hamden                 13- 5       8    14    -     -2.00
   427 H Branford                8- 7       1     5    --    -4.94
   501 H New Milford            17-16       1     3    -     -2.93
   503 A Immaculate Heart, CT   18-14       4     7    -     -3.36
   505 A Avon                    9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.26
   507 A Bethel, CT             11-10 2o    1     5    --    -4.41
   510 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   20- 4      16    23           0.00
   512 H South Windsor          13-11       2     7    --    -5.36
   514 H Lauralton Hall         17- 7      10     4    ++     5.21
   517 H Norwalk                13-10       3     5    -     -2.12
   521 H New Milford            15-16 3o   -1     3    --    -4.93
   531 H Windsor, CT            18- 8      10     7    +      2.30
   604 A Wilton                  7-18     -11   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Branford                8- 7       1     5    --    -4.94
   507 A Bethel, CT             11-10 2o    1     5    --    -4.41
   512 H South Windsor          13-11       2     7    --    -5.36
   521 H New Milford            15-16 3o   -1     3    --    -4.93
   411 H Pomperaug              12- 9       3     6    -     -3.14
   414 A Ridgefield              9-20     -11    -6    -     -3.50
   424 H Hamden                 13- 5       8    14    -     -2.00
   501 H New Milford            17-16       1     3    -     -2.93
   503 A Immaculate Heart, CT   18-14       4     7    -     -3.36
   517 H Norwalk                13-10       3     5    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Avon                    9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.26
   514 H Lauralton Hall         17- 7      10     4    ++     5.21
   417 A Brookfield, CT         13-12       1    -1    +      2.13
   531 H Windsor, CT            18- 8      10     7    +      2.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.55 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.58 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/