Region = VA    Lbrty            
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Vivian Tan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1976776    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A South County, Lorton   VA    Pat     ( 5- 7, 80.0)    15-18   
 316 A Hayfield               VA    Natl    (11- 5, 84.1)    14- 8   
 320 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-10, 62.8)    16- 2   
 322 A Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 8- 9, 78.1)     9-12   
 326 H McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 2- 9, 75.8)    14-13   
 328 H Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   (11- 6, 90.6)     8-21   
 417 A South Lakes            VA    Lbrty   ( 6- 6, 83.6)    11- 9   
 418 A Fairfax                VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 6, 81.9)    10-12   
 425 H George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   (11- 5, 91.3)    12-14   
 427 H Langley                VA    Lbrty   (17- 4, 96.2)     7-17   
 502 H James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (15- 2, 97.4)    12-21   
 504 A James Madison, VA      VA    Lbrty   (15- 2, 97.4)    11-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A South County, Lorton   15-18      -3     0    -     -2.10
   316 A Hayfield               14- 8       6    -4    +++   10.96
   320 A J.E.B. Stuart          16- 2      14    16           0.00
   322 A Washington-Lee          9-12      -3     0    -     -3.98
   326 H McLean, VA             14-13       1     5    --    -4.52
   328 H Stone Bridge            8-21     -13    -9          -0.71
   417 A South Lakes            11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.51
   418 A Fairfax                10-12      -2    -2           0.77
   425 H George C. Marshall     12-14      -2    -9    +++    7.99
   427 H Langley                 7-17     -10   -14           0.00
   502 H James Madison, VA      12-21      -9   -16           1.00
   504 A James Madison, VA      11-23     -12   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H McLean, VA             14-13       1     5    --    -4.52
   314 A South County, Lorton   15-18      -3     0    -     -2.10
   322 A Washington-Lee          9-12      -3     0    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Hayfield               14- 8       6    -4    +++   10.96
   417 A South Lakes            11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.51
   425 H George C. Marshall     12-14      -2    -9    +++    7.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.21 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.15 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3
/